BTC: Bitcoin’s 4-Year Reset Cycle - Is the Next Bottom Oct 2026?
This chart plots Bitcoin’s percentage drawdown from the previous all-time high and overlays fixed cycle intervals based on the historical spacing between major market bottoms.
Two consistent behaviors appear across multiple cycles:
1. Final Drawdown Phase
Near the end of each cycle window (the end of the green arc), Bitcoin tends to enter its most aggressive drawdown phase.
2. Cycle Reset Point
The lowest point of each drawdown consistently occurs near the vertical green boundary line, marking the transition into the next cycle.
The spacing between these events is roughly 3.5–4 years, forming a repeating cycle structure.
Projecting this timing forward places the next potential cycle reset window around October 2026 if the pattern continues.
Two consistent behaviors appear across multiple cycles:
1. Final Drawdown Phase
Near the end of each cycle window (the end of the green arc), Bitcoin tends to enter its most aggressive drawdown phase.
2. Cycle Reset Point
The lowest point of each drawdown consistently occurs near the vertical green boundary line, marking the transition into the next cycle.
The spacing between these events is roughly 3.5–4 years, forming a repeating cycle structure.
Projecting this timing forward places the next potential cycle reset window around October 2026 if the pattern continues.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.