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edutradinguru
Jun 20, 2020 9:51 PM

BTC - INDECISION IS KING BUT VOLA IS LOW, WHAT TO DO? OPTION #2 Long

Bitcoin Volatility Token / USDFTX

Description

Hello, this is a relatively new token (I would call it index though) very very very interesting because it replicates the VXX index of traditional financial markets, which is based on VIX (SP500 implied volatility). In the same way, this index is linked to bitcoin implied volatility. It is only available on the exchange you see.

Basically, this index will gain if vola increases. It has been going down because vola actually disappeared from the halving afterwards. But now Vola is too low not to expect a spike soon. So, already said about my other strategy in times of low vola (see the linked idea), this token offers us another way to speculate on volatility movements.

Here is current level of 24hvola on BTC



I am buying this idex at current levels, and will increase my positions in the following days until the vola spike does not occur! Then I will sell it.

As you see from the circled area, the potential gain can be really interesting (that is what happened during the volatility spike due to covid), while downsides are limited in this particular moment, since volatility is too low now and can has not much room to decrease further.

Let me know if you knew this index and what do you think about it.
Comments
GoodFellowToo
So far I was using Bitmex 24h & mostly 7d vola (because that was the only one I knew). Thank you!
edutradinguru
@GoodFellowToo, you are welcome! please note that BVOL on FTX is IMPLIED VOLA (expectation of future vola), while BVOL on Bitmex is REALIZED (past) VOLA. Said that, that token is defintively very useful. I will do a more complete overlook of BVOL and IBVOL (its opposite) in a new idea super soon. For the moment I want to tell you that BVOL is by definition decreasing (asyntotically) to zero in the long term for the way it is created. It is useful to enter at the right time when a spike is expected tho, asit can be hue (see the march spike in vola).....Take a look at my status if you want some benefit!
GoodFellowToo
@edutradinguru, Well, it's kind of embarrassing. You mentioned VIX, you mention the world "implied" (twice actually), but obviously I wasn't paying the required attention. Anyway, thanks for the clarification.
MartyBoots
Very interesting idea
edutradinguru
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