AP17FX

CADCHF Top-Down Analysis

Long
OANDA:CADCHF   CAD/CHF
Hello Traders,

Here is the Top-Down Analysis of CADCHF (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for

Week 43 - 19 Oct

M > Market tested monthly support and started an upward move after rejection.

W > Price went up and dropped from resistance to complete W formation.

D > Price was moving in a rising channel , as projected price climbed high and after a Doji /dragonfly sharply dropped down breaking channel support. Price was in consolidation in range of about 70-80 pips. Price broke supply zone last week and continued its move up till -0.272 Fib level on last bearish impulse. Price dropped below same supply zone and is now at same level. We expect price to continue with its bullish move.

As per COT CAD saw addition of major Long and closure of Short positions with Short positions further reducing to least for current year, improving net positions (still in -ve). CXY further gained strength during the said week but weakened a bit last week. CHF saw closure of few Long and addition of Short positions, reducing net positions whereas N-R saw addition of both Long and Short positions increasing cumulative net positions. SXY further improved its position during the said week. However SXY weakened last week.

4H> Price has surpassed daily supply zone and is now returning back to retest it as support. We expect it to continue with two targets.
1. Supply zone it created at -0.272 Fob level (0.6966)
2. Next -0.272 Fib level on bearish impulse, this level also coincides with last high of 08 Sept (0.6998)

Pair Correlation > CADCHF has positive correlation with GBPCHF and negative correlation with EURCAD .

This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.

Thank You
AP17FX

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