A high-risk trade coming thru, based on loose upside - I usually prefer more generous reward-to-risk ratios, but here it is:
Partial Entry @ 91.58
SL @ 93.442 - More junior traders might consider a rallying into 92.758 vicinity to play it safe
TP @ three potential levels, namely:
1 - TG-1 = 89.250 - 21 MAR 14, moderate probability
2 - TG-2 = 87.404 - 21 MAR 14, moderate probability
3 - TG-Lo = 85.762 - 21 MAR 2014, low probability
Each trader must know what his risk tolerance is before entering any trade. This means that before an entry is executed, a trader must know the percentage of risked fund potentially lost to the markets. This means knowing what your stop-loss ("SL") is before you even think about your profit target.
In this type of trade where the reward is too close to the value of loss, the higher-probability target might appear enticing, but the loss exposure might be too great for a trader with thinner accounts. Playing is also riskier, because the trader might not be willing to wait the time necessary for the trade to complete, especially when contemplating other potential trading opportunities in other charts/markets. So, here too, know who you are. Do not let the market (and that means people like me) help you find out what type of trader you are. You need to know this before you play - You will probably NOT have enough funds to learn from all the lessons encountered through mistakes.
Okay, enough soap-boxing.
Now, technically, the trade I chose is based on proprietary discoveries, although the entry is LATE, hence the riskier profile of this trade.
Looking at the H4 level, there is LESS chance of a rallying based on the negative divergence in . However, this being Friday, enough fundamentals can trump technicals is not all events are discounted in such a tumultuous world stage, and over a week-end. We'll see what Sunday brings. I'll be back at work then.
TradingView.com Moderator, Alias: 4xForecaster
Predictive Analysis & Market Forecasting
PS: If you liked the analysis, feel free to give it a "Thumb Up" and pass of a friendly referral to friends interested in occult market mathematics and hidden geometries. All targets generated are defined by non-price means, and confirmed by either proprietary patterns (Euclid, Janus, Great White, Deep ), or other well known patterns. However, we concentrate mainly on , and occasional Bats, to complement our predictive analysis and forecasting - Cheers, David Alcindor.
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Disclaimer: Forecasts, analyses and directional opinions generated herein are for educational purposes only and are not trading recommendations. We trust that you will do your own due diligence first, then seek professional advice from a licensed professional, then enter the market at your own perils - David Alcindor - TradingView.com Alias: 4xForecaster
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I recommend the trader to use his discretion as far as timeframe choice, based on money management and risk tolerance.
I hope this answers your question.
- David Alcindor
However, what it is capable of discounting is whether institutional forces or the aggregate market participants are hinting at one direction or another.
At the moment, it is pointing down. Once it detects an early signal to the contrary, it will provide a sign, then a signal, then a confirmation. If this reflects the weather-induced behavior of market participants is one thing, but I can tell you that it works on a mind of its own. Rain or shine.