Jai30

CADJPY Head and Shoulders Formation - Short 200+ Pip Target

Short
FX:CADJPY   Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen
CADJPY has formed an obvious Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart at the resistance level of a descending trend line and also at the horizontal resistance level of 83.650 and currently closed for the weekend on the neckline of the pattern at around 83.400. I am anticipating this pair to fall around 240 pips to 81.000 level where the descending trend line support is, not to mention a psychological level and a key level of support in the past.

Looking at the confluence for this trade, CADJPY has been clearly making lower highs and lower lows recently and is clearly in a definable downtrending channel. It is currently forming a Head and Shoulders pattern after its most recent touch and test of the descending resistance with 3 clearly definable drives to the highlighted area and the blue circles highlighting the H&S formation. The MA and EMA are crossing right as the price is sitting on the neckline.

Fundamentally Canadian Dollar is struggling with trade worries and worries over domestic debt; this lines up perfectly with the technical analysis of the H&S being formed at a resistance level ready for the price to fall within the descending channel to the support level of 81.000.

looking forward to this one. I may adjust my SL slightly depending on how the market opens but overall the SL will be kept very tight as a close above the right shoulder will invalidate the whole set up.
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