timwest

Tim's TradingView Fundamentals Chart

Short
NYSE:CAT   Caterpillar, Inc
Here's what I like to plot using the great charting tools available at TradingView:

1. Free Cash Flow
2. Price to Sales Ratio ( PSR )
3. Average Basic Shares Outstanding
4. Long Term Debt (excl lease liabilities)
5. Total Revenues
6. Market Cap

From this I can assess how the structure of the company has changed over time.
For example: Did the company go into more debt over the last 5-10 years and reduce shares outstanding? If so, are they generating higher Free Cash Flow ( FCF ) overall as a percent of the market valuation ( mkt cap)? I like to see the stability or growth in revenues overall and the valuation that the market is placing on the shares of the company. If you look at enough companies, you can see what the market is paying for and decide what you might be willing to pay for any company you are studying.

Sales growth can help cover up a lot of trouble from having a lot of debt, which seems obvious. A lack of sales growth can destroy any chances of ever being able to pay off debt or increase dividends, which means you wont pay as much for a company.

Looking at $CAT here: Compare to 2007 and you can see that debt is up $9 billion, Free Cash Flow is flat, shares outstanding are down 15%, and YET the stock valuation has TRIPLED over that time frame, which doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

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