CBA To Bounce from Support?

With the risk of Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hikes rising, the ASX financials sector could face further pressure ahead. I therefore retain my bias that CBA will eventually break below 150. For now, however, it continues to hold above this level while the broader ASX enjoys a materials-led bounce. The longer support holds, the greater the chance CBA attempts to close the gap with the ASX over the near term — provided the index itself does not roll over.

CBA remains above support despite Wednesday’s high-volume bearish candle, and a bullish pin bar has since formed. Bulls could look to fade dips within Thursday’s range for a minor counter-trend move towards the 156.10 high. A break above this level would open the door to a move towards 160.

Beyond that, I will continue to look for evidence of a swing high, in anticipation of an eventual break below 150.

Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index