CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN

🔥 PRIMARY TRADE PLAN – INTRA-DAY BUY (VALIDATED)

🆔 Plan ID: CHFJPY-ID-BUY-0521-01
📅 Date: May 21, 2025
📊 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
📈 Type: Tactical Continuation Buy
📌 Status: ⚠️ Conditional – Zone Tap & Confirmation Required

📋 TRADE OVERVIEW
Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Validity Execution Status
Intra-Day Buy 84% Up to 1:3.2 12–18H Conditional – Await OB Tap + Conf
🧠 STRUCTURAL CONTEXT
✅ D1:

Clean Higher High → Higher Low sequence since March
Price holding above key structural support @ 173.30–173.50
Present candle structure = Bullish inside bar breakout retest
✅ H4:

Recent impulse broke past 174.80 supply zone
Clean BOS with internal sweep, now retracing toward imbalance
✅ H1:

Impulse leg from 173.20 → 174.80
Retracement underway = internal FVG + demand OB alignment

📍 ENTRY ZONES
Zone Price Range Description
🟢 PEZ 174.05 – 174.25 H1 OB + FVG + 50–61.8% retracement from impulse
🟡 SEZ 173.70 – 173.90 Deeper liquidity grab zone + unmitigated OB

❗ STOP LOSS
SL: 173.55
Below structural swing + OB low
Validates loss of internal structure

🎯 TARGETS
TP Target Description
TP1 174.80 Previous high (imbalance zone)
TP2 175.30 Liquidity sweep target
TP3 175.85 D1 continuation projection level

📏 RISK:REWARD ESTIMATE
TP R:R
TP1 ~2.0:1
TP2 ~2.9:1
TP3 ~3.2:1

🧠 RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 0.5% (Intra-Day Category)
SL to BE after TP1 + H1 BOS confirmation
50% off @ TP1, 30% @ TP2, 20% trail with structure

✅ CONFIRMATION TRIGGERS REQUIRED
Criteria Status
H1 Bullish Engulfing Awaiting
Volume Spike Zone Awaiting
Session Filter London/NY only
SMT Trap Optional

⏳ PLAN VALIDITY
Valid for: 12–18 hours
Auto-expire if:
PEZ tapped with no confirmation after 4 candles
Price breaks below 173.55 without confirmation

🌐 MACRO + SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
Factor Commentary
🇨🇭 CHF Sentiment Neutral – SNB holding policy
🇯🇵 JPY Sentiment Weak – BOJ still dovish
Risk Flow Mild Risk-On → supports CHF strength
Retail Sentiment 66% short = bullish confluence
Sentiment Score ✅ +7.2 / 10