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danwagnerco
Apr 6, 2021 12:28 PM

Charter Communications will eventually be a good buy opportunity Long

Charter Communications, Inc.NASDAQ

Description

Charter Communications is a pillar of the telecommunications industry and is seeing prices decline right now (April 6, 2021) but will eventually be a great buy opportunity.

Weaknesses
  • Endless debate between the "oh my god cord-cutters!" vs. the "cord-cutters need broadband internet!" crowds on social media
  • Doesn't pay a dividend so they fail my "ok boomer" test
  • Looming threat of 5G revolutionizing connectivity
  • 174M "scandal" in 2018 post Time Warner Cable acquisition to settle fraud claims
  • Insider selling in the last two quarters (EVP David Ellen unloading 35,000+ shares) but no insider buying**


Strengths
  • Revenue increasing yearly from 2018 to 2020*
  • 67% of shares owned by institutional investors (including Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street) and 29% of shares owned by insiders**
  • Makes up about 4.7% of the XLC***


TipRanks
  • 15 Analysts covering Charter Communications in the last 6 months
  • Median price target is $725, about 20% higher than the close on April 6, 2021


Chart
  • Price fell beneath the 200-Day SMA on April 5, 2021
  • RSI is dropping and was <40 on April 5, 2021
  • MACD is increasing in the negative direction


Summary
Charter Communication's price drop is only making them more appealing to small-timers like me, and I will be watching this decline with great interest. The median price target of $725 from TipRanks means more and more upside as the price drops, since I do not believe that broadband internet via cable will be immediately and instantly supplanted by 5G technology. Charter Communication's latest close was below their 200-Day SMA of $612.47, which has almost certainly put them on institutional watchlists worldwide. Passive index fund giants Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street already own 25+ million shares and though they collectively sold about 1M shares in Q4 2020**, this price decrease may signal significant buys as part of their rebalancing effort.

*Sourced from 2020 10-K filing for Charter Communications
**Sourced from WhaleWisdom
***Sourced from etf[dot]com summary of XLC
Comments
View2012
Very good analysis
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