2008 IT CRASHED. 2022 IT CRASHED. 2026 — SAME WALL, SAME SETUP.

One resistance line has stopped every major oil rally for 18 years. The market has never broken it.
📌 2008 — Hit the wall. Crashed from $147 to $33.
📌 2022 — Hit the wall. Collapsed from $130 to $65.
📌 2026 — Middle East conflict pushed WTI to $119.5. Resistance held. Already at $96.
Same wall. Three crashes. Watch closely.
🎯 TRADE SETUP
● Resistance: $115–$124
● Target: $70–$75
● Invalidation: Monthly close above $124
🌍 FUNDAMENTALS CONFIRM IT
● World producing 2.5M barrels/day more than consumed
● OPEC+ chose to pump more into an already oversupplied market
● EVs, efficient engines and remote work killing oil demand permanently
● J.P. Morgan
JPM: 60% global recession probability
● U.S. Energy Information Administration expects prices to fall through late 2026 and into 2027
The geopolitical spike is temporary. The oversupply is not.
📊 Putting It All Together
A rare geopolitical event just pushed
CL1! directly into an 18-year resistance zone; the very wall that has stopped every major rally since 2008.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
📌 2008 — Hit the wall. Crashed from $147 to $33.
📌 2022 — Hit the wall. Collapsed from $130 to $65.
📌 2026 — Middle East conflict pushed WTI to $119.5. Resistance held. Already at $96.
Same wall. Three crashes. Watch closely.
🎯 TRADE SETUP
● Resistance: $115–$124
● Target: $70–$75
● Invalidation: Monthly close above $124
🌍 FUNDAMENTALS CONFIRM IT
● World producing 2.5M barrels/day more than consumed
● OPEC+ chose to pump more into an already oversupplied market
● EVs, efficient engines and remote work killing oil demand permanently
● J.P. Morgan
● U.S. Energy Information Administration expects prices to fall through late 2026 and into 2027
The geopolitical spike is temporary. The oversupply is not.
📊 Putting It All Together
A rare geopolitical event just pushed
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
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🌐 naranjcapital.com
🎖️ CMT (usa) & CFTe (usa) chartered
🇺🇸 Telegram - USA Stocks Trading Advice
t.me/Naranj_USA
🇸🇦 Telegram - Saudi Stocks Trading Advice
t.me/Naranj_KSA
🤝 Contact Us
bio.link/NaranjCapital
🎖️ CMT (usa) & CFTe (usa) chartered
🇺🇸 Telegram - USA Stocks Trading Advice
t.me/Naranj_USA
🇸🇦 Telegram - Saudi Stocks Trading Advice
t.me/Naranj_KSA
🤝 Contact Us
bio.link/NaranjCapital
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.