jangseohee
Long

CL1!, dip buying

NYMEX:CL1!   LIGHT CRUDE OIL FUTURES
2356 294 28
a year ago
crude oil             have been thrashed since topping at 62.
saw a decent good long set up

1. 1 tick above the hammer is long triggered
2. SL is 1 tick below the hammer low
3. target around 46.50 breaking beyond is a bonus
4. left gap is fulfilled

worth the risk for me.. yes
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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Brave man!
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
If it rallies I'll short again xD
My stop is 45.24 but I might move it to 46.78, 0 loss there too.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
look for wicks from above to short
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
I don't look at candle patterns in FX. I look at horizontal levels mostly.
But yes, I can reshort 45.245 if hit, which I doubt, but well.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
diff approach bro, no one universal method
my SL is there if i am wrong ^_^
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Yeah, exactly.
I'll keep an eye on it. Not willing to get out of my short xD
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smitheric1970 PRO IvanLabrie
a year ago
I agree with Ivan and believe that next strong point of inflection to the upside is low 45's. I am also a heavy short at the moment. That being said, Jangseohee, stick to your own convictions. Prices have to retrace up in order to find more bullish buyers so that prices can drop more... I still believe that 2003, 2004 and 2009 offer very strong points of inflection that we will see again over the coming year.
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jangseohee
a year ago
i know the daily candle is not even finished yet.. i don have time to monitor hence at least u know what is the set up about
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motleifaul
a year ago
I don't trade this at moment as I am changing my broker. For me it seems to early for a really conclusion. Ver yoften hammers in a downtrend are followed by a green candle. But this does not neccesairily mean a substantial correction, the less a change of the trend. Perhaps you are right and I wish you good luck but I wouldn't touch it until the previous red candle has been covered.
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jangseohee motleifaul
a year ago
patience is the key
SL is there to protect me
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MaryJane
a year ago
thx for sharing..i don`t see a reversal Chance at that Level... here is my view :-)
No sustainable signals for a trend reversal!
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Nearly all views i read on this platform are bullish @ that level - many think about a double bottom as a trend reversal.
But dipping the former Pivot LOW is not yet enough to signal a trend reversal. Perhaps the exspected Rebound (dead cat bounce) is just good for scalping. (My maximal target for a possible Rebound is the 38,2 fibo (38,85-61,55) - but i don`t exspect a Rebound from this Niveau, i exspect a Rebound when crude will reach ist s falling green Support line @ 38.75
And yes, the RSI is oversold but still without any buying Signal, and yes, we have seen a selloff without any Rebound since the high @ 57.7$ But all WMAs are directed downwards - without any sign for a trendchange.

The useage of many WMAs or EMAs is the so called "rainbow-concept"
An important concept of this trading approach is the so called "spin" ! This refers to the trend reversal in itself or the time in which the Rainbow rotates . Due to the construction of the Rainbow as a "multi- cross" system does not generate this a single signal, such as the breakthrough to a new high / low but needs time to unfold again. With this concept you have a trend-following system, but also the Advantage that you can catch sustainable trend reversals (with a time lag - but you can minimize that lag, because of the use of short timeframes composed with Long time Frames)

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jangseohee MaryJane
a year ago
thank you for your explanation @Tradersince1997
like you say, i could be the only dimwit bullish here ^_^

i have the same system too.. maybe diff setting
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MaryJane jangseohee
a year ago
coool :-)
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IvanLabrie TOP MaryJane
a year ago
Same view, that pin bar/hammer I think is just some minimal short covering in a non-news intensive day.
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claydoctor IvanLabrie
a year ago
China doesn't pay attention to charts, and they will bring all commodities lower, a lot lower. Put all chart indicators in the pocket for now, until these currency wars are over. All is fair in love and war, and this war is raging in all asian currencies. I suggest wait until this war is over, and the air settles a bit, and traditional charting patterns and indicators have real value again. Jang, IMO don't do this. Oil is a NO PLAY FOR NOW, and the risk play is short, not long.
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IvanLabrie TOP claydoctor
a year ago
If a market has enough participation, the chart patterns created by human psychology will be somewhat predictable. It's the basis of technical analysis.
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
(that being said, I agree that if anything, I'd go short...since hey, I'm already short =) )
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claydoctor IvanLabrie
a year ago
Short is good, hope you prosper with that, really. Also agree, charts can be trusted, HOWEVER, for oil, just not right at this particular moment in time. History can help this picture though, previous currency wars should be researched for clues to help with now and effects on oil. i.e., Oil could actually go to $20, wti. It could happen, before a slow, very slow rebound next year. Saudis want to bleed out everyone they can, punish them out of business, they are committed to it, and cannot change the plan now. They have to see this through.
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IvanLabrie TOP claydoctor
a year ago
I don't trust a single candle pattern.
I do trust time at mode.
It's a weekly downtrend and my target is at least 27.98. Invalid if it moves back above the mode (most frequent price in the down leg in the weekly. I posted a chart on it, not sure if you saw it)
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jangseohee claydoctor
a year ago
back to 1987 currency war perhaps
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claydoctor jangseohee
a year ago
Perhaps, cannot trust China to behave. they will manipulate again, maybe next week, after trying to calm markets.
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Yahia.Awes
a year ago
You get them fresh!
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jangseohee
a year ago
http://puu.sh/jCw5d/fa3578cbb6.png
weekly highspin candy doji
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
I'm trying to get some oil production and oil stocks change data from quandl imported here...I'll add it and post.
Really useful.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
thanks Ivan
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
It doesn't work somehow but well.
The idea is that the trend is fundamentally based and won't be subject to change until a huge paradigm shift occurs. So for now, I will sell rallies and accumulate shorts.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
alright
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smitheric1970 PRO IvanLabrie
a year ago
That would be awesome, thanks Ivan.
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IvanLabrie TOP smitheric1970
a year ago
You can look at the data at quandl, really interesting. Price is closely tied to rigs deployed in the US and Canada, and other fundamentals.
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Patladj.
a year ago
Buy Oil for the long term. It is so cheap and will NEVER be so cheap again. Buy Gold too. Sell USD, buy everything else. Another global cycle is on its way.

Commentaries about the fundament:
Fasten Your Seat-belts. Inflation lift-off is coming very soon. Miraculous world economic recovery will strengthen the optimism and the hesitant faith in central banking. This will free politicians of all countries to increase money supply even more aggressively in each future (even small) doubts of recession. At any cost Politicians will prevent the healing deflation to happen.
- 1950-2015 - World population growth 300% and slowing down last decade.
- 1950-2015 - avg m1 growth more than 3000%. What other proofs you want that something is broken ?
The system combination Central Banking + Globalized Democracy - simply does not work. It's no person's fault. It's just the biggest world's blunder ever in history of humanity.
The ultimate painful but "with no alternative" solution is: Market and Money Supply separation from Politics --> exactly like the Church is separated from Politics now, and it works. Church + Politics was the previous great world blunder. Now we need to bare the consequences of this one's blunder too. Be informed people. When you live inside the bubble, it's sometimes difficult to see whats outside of it. I can do that for you with simple and strong arguments.
Keep seat-belts - big inflation coming. Sell USD, Buy Real Estates, durable commodities, and equities. Price of shares over the world will simply EXPLODE.
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AristotelCostel Patladj.
a year ago
There will be no inflation before a deflationary crash that will destroy first of all Real Estate, durable commodities and equities.
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smitheric1970 PRO AristotelCostel
a year ago
Agreed Aristotle, on all accounts
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jangseohee Patladj.
a year ago
hi @Patladj, i wish all commodities explode to the upside and die DXY _^_^
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jangseohee
a year ago
http://puu.sh/jEHpU/301bce6ef4.png
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jangseohee
a year ago
snapshot
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AristotelCostel jangseohee
a year ago
I agree with your long position. Oil will dig much below after it tests the resistance you spotted.
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jangseohee AristotelCostel
a year ago
thanks Costel,
i know the risk is there still i need to take it..^_^
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JohnKeverich
a year ago
Instead of catching a falling knife, wait for the price to close above 8-day EMA, or better yet 34-period EMA made of HIGHS of the day.
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This year worked like a charm
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jangseohee JohnKeverich
a year ago
Hi John,
nice to hear from you again
yes, perhaps mine trade is too impulsive.. ^_^
stephen bigalow call the 8ema T-line (triggered)
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Market_Masta
a year ago
Ahead of the bell curve @jangseohee.
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jangseohee
a year ago
base on my own broker
the 39.55 low still holds
until that is broken, i keep my long
http://puu.sh/jJSpc/5a035d4c73.png
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jangseohee
a year ago
monthly candle still fiercely down, though not completed yet
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weekly candle still on LH, LL
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daily not looking good as well
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jangseohee
a year ago
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Straight down. No reversal until 27.
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jangseohee
a year ago
ah price is about to breach 39.55
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jangseohee
a year ago
my low was taken out
:-(
and i am out from the long
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Darn :/
Doesn't matter though, you've killed everything else.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
yeah, which is why it has proven again, there is no 100%
even such a hammer wick is breached..
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
For sure...we can only keep trying when our setups are valid.
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
no emotion, just a bad biz deal
^_^
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
I forgot to update, went long at 39 in sep futures.
Closed today at 43.
Now short :D
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jangseohee IvanLabrie
a year ago
well done ivan
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Thanks! Hopefully I learn something from you.
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
Crude oil (WTI): Get ready for a meltdown
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jangseohee
a year ago
congratulations to those of you who cause the almost bottom of 37.8 ish which the megaphone bottom
as you can see i got stopped up, but it is a good set up and just a bad trade for me (in the intraday, i do make money on intraday swings) to hedge it
a week has past, weekly chart shows POTENTIAL bullish divergence, why i say POTENTIAL because 14 days ago the POTENTIAL bullish divergence never happen and price goes lower, for confirmation it is better to wait for MACD golden crosses for entry but again due to large volatility, by the time confirmation comes, MACD could uncrossed again which is why many deem it LAGGING
here's the weekly

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we have a bullish engulfing, which signals a long
but on a 4hr chart
i see a mini high spin doji, this could signal a small to medium size retracement perhaps down to 43.5 ish
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there is still an upside gap of 54.8-56.5 not to mention about the break away gap at 96 ish

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1hrly, price is making a triangle, and could go to channel top touching

my strategy:
short for retracement, but more emphasis is on the long side
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Great, I shorted the almost top. Agree that we retest lower before more up is highly likely.
I posted that FXE/FXY chart, and the euro reversal idea. I still think it's around the corner this time.
Will they announce the hike today? And then DXY tops? (I think it already bottomed or is close to it)
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
*hit the top
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
alright guys
monthly buy signal is in
but my long was on 45.29 base on weekly
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look at those wicks, until that monthly wick low got taken out
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smitheric1970 PRO jangseohee
a year ago
I think we may see a wick repeat. We are currently in a range that has repeated currently and in previous years: 45.6-50.4, the last time that range broke down was July 30'th of this year at 49.36. I'm hoping for a retrace back above 49 this week, I think we will then fall quickly again as we approach the 200 MA.
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jangseohee
a year ago
true, just shorted at 47.80, stop loss is 48.10
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i expect price to retrace to blue region
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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right shoulder is forming according to plan
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jangseohee
a year ago
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Yahia.Awes jangseohee
a year ago
Good luck!
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jangseohee
a year ago
8 hours ago i became suspicious of a bull flag
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jangseohee
a year ago
price will end as highspin DOJI weekly as the big shots are on holiday
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
GREEN DOJI FOR AUGUST MONTH IS POSITIVE FOR CRUDE?
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
Hi AmbyPatel,

base on my own understanding, a DOJI is just a DOJI whether it is a red or green body
it definitely signifies a halt before next move after 3 previous big green week
Moving forward, if price breaks the high of the DOJI, crude price will most likely challenge the red downtrend line while a break of the weekly doji low will definitely lean towards more bearishness for revisiting of 38
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS FOR CLARIFICATION. GREEN DOJI IS MORE RELIABLE THAN RED,
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jangseohee
a year ago
had some to do some live trade in oil chat room
look, the POWER of wick/beard/rejection!!
this is the series of event, 1. bearish divergence give warning, 2. then the wick happen, 3, big drop and took profits ^_^

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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
PERFECT TIMING,
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
well i stayed out until 4am last night, that enable me to catch it LIVE, such as catch fish fresh
and fantastic chances always happen when i am sleeping ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
VERY TRUE. WHENEVER I TAKE BRAKE I LOSE CHANCE.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
ahaha, that's for sure
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
I THINK CRUDE HAS BROKEN SUPPORT LINE AS PER YOUR CHART, ANY COMMENT.
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WallStScalper PRO jangseohee
a year ago
So I guess your advice goes.... never sleep :) Nice weekend
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jangseohee WallStScalper
a year ago
@WallStScalper
For me that is the disadvantage of living in asia, because ALMOST all big moves normally are done during NY session after lunch 12pm - 330pm
since it was a holiday for me due to Voting day, so i decided to stay out to see if i really can find such an opportunity
i don't think it is an issue to you as you are if you are residing in US, but i do know some european guys staying out late in Sunday to watch for opening of Asian sessions
to sleep or not that is personal choice, it is never my advice to deprive oneself from the precious SLEEP ^_^
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jangseohee
a year ago
it is touching and some rebound
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
YES IT IS BOUNCING BACK, LET US WAIT N WATCH,
HOW TO ENTER CRUDE LIVE CHAT ROOM,
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AMBRISH AMBRISH
a year ago
THANKS .
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jangseohee
a year ago
sound like a tweezer top reversal again weekly
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Sure looks like it, a drop under that low would be nice.
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jangseohee
a year ago
short retracement, a day before Yeller
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jangseohee
a year ago
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5min divergence warning,
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
if you remember that
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jangseohee
a year ago
45 more min to confirm this high spin DOJI??
hard to say
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS, WHAT WILL BE LEVEL TO GO LONG? IT IS 47.01 NOW.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
hi Amby,
i was away for F1 volunteering, couldnt update in time
woke up at 6am to update this, SL is 47
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
HOW WAS F1? THANKS FOR UPDATE, I HAD NET PROBLEM.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
it was fun.. look at what i have to share on the piece of white paper ^_^
http://puu.sh/kfIEQ/c25f04cfc0.jpg
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jangseohee
a year ago
i warned again and again, vertical price movement is NOT sustainable since that euphoric move a day before Fed, look what happen aftermath
for 1 hr chart, it falls to my blue region as expected, WHY, because it is the original short term uptrend channel i have, nice profit i had, if price break down, i keep remaining 50% shorting, 30mins hammer, i will take full profits
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price will now challenge 45.65-46.10
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IvanLabrie TOP jangseohee
a year ago
Agreed.
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
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IvanLabrie TOP IvanLabrie
a year ago
5:1 is 5:1...
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jangseohee
a year ago
daily looks like a bearish reversal, while 1hr have a long wick hammer
so i long small
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but chances are that it might fall lower
well, a wick is a wick until it no longer valids ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
I LIKED YOU N YOUR WHITE PAPER.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
Thanks Amby
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mkdeep04 jangseohee
a year ago
daily chart... this up move could be right shoulder.. supp at NL.. OR BRKDOWN . NL
still cant ruleout up move if dollar gets weak..62 AREA ??. posted chart.. check it out under my id
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jangseohee mkdeep04
a year ago
great idea ^_^
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
well, i had a chance to do some oil trading again ^_^
which i warn the oil chat room look at the blue region which coincide with triangle upper line
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WallStScalper PRO jangseohee
a year ago
Nice chart!
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AMBRISH WallStScalper
a year ago
MISSED TO TAKE SHORT AT UPPER LINE.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
chances will come ^_^ again
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MIchaelTran jangseohee
a year ago
perfect jangseohee, ^^
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jangseohee
a year ago
please don be mistaken, i still have losses, but small compare to this big move ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
NOW WAIT FOR BUY AT @ 43.50?
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WallStScalper PRO AMBRISH
a year ago
Trend overview for the crude: https://twitter.com/WallStScalper/status/646728673182240768
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS,
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
moving my stop loss to 44.69 as i am gonna sleep
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
YOUR SL WILL BE SAVED,
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claydoctor jangseohee
a year ago
Oil may complete the right shoulder, perhaps to 36. IMO :)
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jangseohee claydoctor
a year ago
hi @claydoctor, I am thinking an inverted head to 34-35 ^_^ on weekly chart
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jangseohee
a year ago
well I got stopped out ^_^ of 44.69
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
ME TOO, NOW I WILL WAIT TILL 43.50 TO TAKE LONG.
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jangseohee
a year ago
could break down
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
IT SEEMS CORRECTION IS OVER AND NOW CONSOLIDATING FOR BIG MOVE.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
absolutely
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jangseohee
a year ago
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u know where i get wrong ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
YES, DOJI ON TOP,PLEASE CORRECT ME ,
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jangseohee
a year ago
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lets see if it gets to 43.75 + -
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
IT IS BUY WITH S.L OF 42.50? TODAY MARKET IS DUE GANDHI JAYANTI,
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
@amby, apologize for such a late reply
i believe base on your time of calling
the buy signal was right after that 1hr high spin DOJI
^_^
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jangseohee
a year ago
weekly wasnt able to close under 8ema, but very close
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that mid term downtrend (red) is not over yet
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break out could happen as soon as next monday or tuesday!
if not next one or two weeks

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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS FOR YOUR GUIDANCE, MARKET WAS CLOSED ON FRIDAY, NOW IT IS RISK TO BUY . HAVE NICE WEEKEND.
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jangseohee
a year ago
price still obeys triangle ^_^
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ChimbOt PRO jangseohee
a year ago
Oil

Wait for it
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jangseohee ChimbOt
a year ago
are you long Chimbot?
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
WATCH NEXT CANDLE, IT MAY CROSS WICK.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
only a preparation, no action will be taken if there is no wick ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
OK. I WILL WAIT FOR IT.
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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long 47.8 lets see
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ForexTools jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee ForexTools
a year ago
anything is possible bro
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
as i mentioned in the chat room last night
my short queue order at 50, 51,
50 was triggered!!
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http://puu.sh/kDtJP/e2c547a359.png
as you can see that in 5min chart
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS.
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jangseohee
a year ago
alright, i am breakeven NOW
no trade
wait for next 4hr or daily signal
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MIchaelTran jangseohee
a year ago
make new post and update mr Jang :P
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jangseohee
a year ago
4hr DOJI in progress
keep monitoring it.. the red line is the daily downtrend line

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jangseohee
a year ago
bearish divergence still lurking in 2hr and 4hr
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jangseohee
a year ago
weekly still up
no short
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jangseohee
a year ago
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if you can decipher what i mean ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
DOJI , watch trend line support . rest you send me message. resistance 54.00
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AMBRISH AMBRISH
a year ago
NOW IT'S TOO LATE. IT WAS CLEAR SELL SIGNAL @ 49.49,
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
well, it made an attempt to go up but got yet another rejection, that daily rejection is pretty cool ^_6
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
i have a crazy idea
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
No, its not crazy idea, but good probability.
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CoolCreekCTA jangseohee
a year ago
you were tame compared to the real CL mkt. 45.5 to 51 to 47 in 4 trading days is crazy!!
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jangseohee CoolCreekCTA
a year ago
Hi @CoolCreekCTA

great to hear from you..
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
you know when the IHS is invalid right?
breach the low of the inverted head
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
No, i don't understand technical much. sorry for troubling you.
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
trend is downward.
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
approaching blue zone, could even breaks down ^_^
then it is a bonus to me
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
O.K., you are an artist. i will wait for update. all the best.
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jangseohee
a year ago
snapshot

anticipating a push lower to my uptrend line..
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
SO I CAN BUY AT 45.85 ?
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jangseohee
a year ago
would be nice for a DOJI with hidden bullish divergence
snapshot
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jangseohee
a year ago
though not completed yet for current candle
weekly looks ugly
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
INTERESTING.
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS,
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
O.K
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jangseohee
a year ago
snapshot

took some profits
next target is circled
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
my TOS oil futures gapped to 47.4 yahoo
http://puu.sh/kLDnI/52eb263c7b.png
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jangseohee
a year ago
snapshot
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago








Thanks,



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jangseohee
a year ago
what a space you created Ambrish ^_^
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
It was mistake,
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jangseohee AMBRISH
a year ago
haha, np Ambrish
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TomasF jangseohee
a year ago
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+1 Reply
jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
inverted neckline doesnt hold
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS.
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jangseohee
a year ago
weekly sell signal
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
Yes Chief.
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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breaking down will be hell
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
pattern recognition
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
??
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
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AMBRISH jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS.
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jangseohee
a year ago
snapshot

45.20 long
sl = 44.75
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jangseohee jangseohee
a year ago
SL 44.50 change
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YinglinQuan jangseohee
a year ago
THANKS~
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jangseohee
a year ago
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jangseohee
a year ago
falling wedge.. is bullish especially at channel support
unless it breaks down

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jangseohee
a year ago
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well done to maself
i have left with last 25% short from 49.6
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