TradingView
MrDiamondHands
Dec 27, 2018 10:44 PM

Fib Analysis on Crude Oil Long

Crude Oil FuturesNYMEX

Description

Getting this chart up for a long entry at $45.41, based on the 50% retracement holding at $44.68. Based on the prior scorching downtrend, really wanted to make sure that this held first.

*My fib retracement tool is reversed to show extension levels*

Take profit: $49.33
Stop loss: $43.75

Floor trader pivot gave support on S1 at around $42.50-$43. Someone pointed out to me that the larger month-based floor trader pivot has S1 marked at right about $45, creating multiple support levels across multiple time frames (always the best trades to take).

I am always starting on the macro 1w and 1d charts before drilling down into the 4hr, 1hr, 30min charts. Oversold conditions for a while now, and some other qualitative factors make this a viable short-term long entry.

Comment



December Monthly S1 Level for Reference

Trade closed: target reached

Adjusting take profit to 48.65 because that is today's (Friday 1/4) daily pivot R2 level. We have substantially moved around 80-90% through the entire weekly ATR range, which is factoring in the 10% day that occurred earlier in the week. Several volatility metrics make me want to take at first level instead of second.

Total return is $3.14 per barrel, or $3,140 per each CL contract.
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