Guac the Bottom

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Chipotle Mexican Grill is trading near major long-term support, forming a textbook rounding bottom at historical lows that have acted as a critical demand zone. Price recently tagged the $29.75 level — the very bottom of its 52-week range — and is now showing early signs of stabilization and recovery. This is the ultimate "prove it" zone for one of the most iconic restaurant brands in the market.

How a stock bounces off key support like this is everything — and CMG is showing exactly the kind of price action that gets buyers interested again. The rounding base is forming, selling pressure is fading, and the stage is being set for a meaningful recovery move.
A decisive break and close above $40 would confirm renewed bullish momentum and signal the rounding bottom is complete, opening the door for a measured move toward the $44.53 resistance zone — aligning closely with the weekly level at $44.46 visible on the chart.
Key Levels:

🔵 Support / Entry Zone: $29.62 - $32.31 (current lows / rounding bottom base)
⚡ Breakout Trigger: $40.00
🎯 Price Target: $44.53
🛑 Stop Loss: $29.62
📊 Risk/Reward: 4.54:1

With a clearly defined stop at $29.62 and a target of $44.53, this setup offers an outstanding 4.54:1 risk/reward ratio — minimal downside risk while targeting a powerful recovery move back toward prior resistance levels.


snapshot

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