China50 Ready to Fall to 13000

OANDA:CN50USD   China A50
Multi Timeframe Analysis

Hint: A massive bearish order block at 13362 is being statisfied. Price will then crash to to a fibonacci level

China50's recent surge is ending. We see price's bullish run hit a massive bearish order block and wicks are freebly forming

Medium term bearish Narrative:

1. Bearish institutional order block now satisfied. Price gravitates to such market imbalances. Drop is inevitable to one of the fibonacci levels.
2. Bullish order block at 12712 awaits satisfaction
2. Bearish divergence signals on the daily and 4H
3. TDI calling for retrace
4. Overbought on daily and volume flow in extremes.
5. Price is wicking up, signifying diffculty to ascend further.

Await a confluence signifying a drop, then take a satisfying short

Remember: life often disrespects charts so trade with caution


Market order position upon the confluence of valid entry rules on the 4H or 1H chart.


Trading philosophy: Don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace on the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or 78.6% fibonacci back in the direction of the master trend.

Note: I use Daily/4H or 4h/1H market structures with wave analysis to prep for potential entries. The RSI , MACD and EMA indictors are confirmation for entries at the 4H or 1H timeframe

For ORDER BLOCK trades
When price reaches a bearish or bullish orderblock, ascertain the price reversal by means of
1. Dojis
2. Morning/evening stars
3. Several wicks.
4. Engulfing candles or three white soldiers in the opposite direction
5. Marbouzou in the opposite direction.
6. Break of trendline or fast EMAs

4H chart should confirm that the bullish retrace had turned bearish in the direction of master trend. The MACD should have dropped below zero signifying a bearish environment. Price would have dropped below the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is below the 50 signal line

4H chart should confirm that the bearish retrace had turned bullish in the direction of the master trend. The MACD should have gone above zero signifying a bullish environment. Price had gone above the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is above the 50 signal line

The 4H, 8H and 12H chart can reveal hidden divergences on the RSI , MACD , Money Flow Index, CMFI, On Balance Volume and Stochastics. When one or more divergences manifest- be ready. Trend reversal is coming. My best practice is to wait for at least an RSI divergence on the 4H, then drop to M15 to see price shifting with a 50EMA aligned with the 4H divergence.

About me
I am not a financial advisor nor a signal provider. These are the opinions of a 20-year private trader in the legal profession as well as a businessman diversified in the tech and hospitality industries. My favored tools of the trade include wave analysis, price action on the 4H to Weekly timeframes and institutional order flow ( COT data).


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