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Moshkelgosha
Jun 10, 2021 3:38 PM

What could be the most probable scenario? 

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City AverageFRED

Description

May 2021 CPI is released today and with a 0.7% increase month to month, it is now 269.195.
The CPI (YoY) is now at 5% which is the highest in the last 30 years..!
The most important thing is the change from linear growth to exponential rate and passing above the 3 standard deviations of the regression line! which means we are facing a phenomenon with a 1.5 in 1000 chance of happening!
It would be wise to Bet on higher inflation..!
Micheal J Burry showed everyone that he is a living legend in the financial world..!
what should we do? what are the solutions?
1- Gold: preserve purchasing power
2- Commodities: already adjusted
3- Real Estate: will be hot for the next 2 years
4- Stocks: Thoe related to commodities or having price gauging ability, and banks.

I believe FED is targeting 6% to boost employment and solving the US debt crisis in the coming years.

They can not decrease the money supply because it will lead to a higher unemployment rate, but at some point, they may increase the interest rates to control the uncontrolled inflation!
please check my US dollar index analysis which shows in the next 5-6 years US dollar could lose up to 30% of its power!


Comments
ContraryTrader
Nice
LaraFM
Really appreciate this analysis....scary thought, feel for those without assets, how are they going to afford anything!
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