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TK0421
Jan 14, 2021 5:02 AM

High probability swing short set up on CRSP Short

CRISPR Therapeutics AGNASDAQ

Description

Here is my short case on CRSP:

- at the top of trading channel started since Feb 2020
- over bought reading on RSI
- both PPO and RSI shows very clear divergence high

Starting building a position as it hits the top of the channel and scale in as it moves down. Impulsive break of the wedge should move it down to the support at $161. Reaction will be likely, consolidation or a minor bounce. Then, if it gets taken down, then moving down to the bottom of the channel which intersects with $145.80 horizontal support. If that breaks, it's going way lower since $110 and $131 area are pretty thin so the move will be probably pretty swift.

Comment

Despite of very bullish candle yesterday, today's reversal put it right back down into the channel. Proven to be a bull trap. We are still early in the trading session so we will see how it closes today.

Comment

Coming back down now for sure. Closed today at $189.46. Around 13% down from the high. Confirmed high level bearish PPO cross over today as well.

Comment

Break down. Closing below the light green trend line. Heading to the first target. Nothing but red candles since Jan 21st. Down about 18% from the all time high.

Comment

23.23% down from all time high.

Comment

Down 35% since the all time high. Today, finally taken down $146 second target. Next target is the trend line. Reaction will be likely.
Comments
TK0421
so far so good
Kosta
good analysis and prediction mate. The question is, will the support from 130 will react or it will go down than that?
TK0421
@Kosta, My gut feeling is reaction and gap down. It is definitely a market trade so if the sell off accelerates, it is going to head lower for sure. Let me put up a weekly chart of CRSP so that I can explain my thought process. I am pretty new here and I can't add charts under trade ideas. I hope you will check it out!
mirza_g_95
Do you think now its a good entry point?
TK0421
@mirza_g_95, In general, no. It seems to be bouncing off of support. Break of today's low should do the trick. 147ish is a decent support too. My max bounce target is 182ish so that would be an objective short entry. Stop somewhat above. Stop would be depend on how far you are targeting.
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