Will Chevron Break Out?

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Chevron is near record highs, and some traders may see potential for a breakout.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the price zone between $199.24 and $196.67 -- the low of April 7 and the high of April 9. It roughly matches the bearish gap after the initial ceasefire between Washington and Tehran. The oil-and-gas giant remained trapped under that range in mid-May and late July, but rallied above it in late August.

CVX tested and held the same price area last week, which could suggest that old resistance has become new support.

Second, last week’s bounce occurred at a 50 percent retracement of its August 7-20 advance. That may confirm its direction is pointing higher.

Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend.

Finally, the early July low occurred near the rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 50-day SMA has also stayed above the 200-day SMA. Those patterns may be consistent with a bullish long-term trend.

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