PatMoar

DAX - Dead-Cat-Bounce - FINANCIAL CRISIS OPPORTUNITIES 2020

XETR:DAX   DAX Index
German and European stock market is in a very bad shape and is crashing much faster as during the DotCom bubble and faster than in 2008!

All major indices crashed during last few weeks, but the DAX looks weaker than the Dow and S&P500 . It is a flash crash with extremely high bearish momentum, which broke through the 50 and 100 MA moving averages! The 200 monthly MA is at around €8000 and this may hold support.
I expect a strong short/intermediate-term bounce from the support zone between €8000 - 7000 which could initiate a rally up into the dead-cat-bounce zone which is between €9.150 - 10.000! Sentiment is extremely fearful and dump money is leaving the space, therefore I think a big bullish bounce will come soon (dead-cat).

Long-term bearish outlook:
On the weekly time-frame a triple MA death cross is nearing and is only a few weeks away.
Price broke below ALL major weekly MAs (50, 100 and 200 MA). Price action below major MAs -> bear market!
A Coopock Curve sell signal will be triggered soon (when COPP curve crosses below ZERO line).
This could be the beginning of something big and it will be worse than 2000 and 2008!
The long-term debt cycle is ending and this in combination with toxic leveraged derivates could result in a debt death spiral!
Ever increasing government spending, more and more bureaucracy, increasing taxes and negative EU sanctions for big businesses forced investors to leave the market. This already fragile market only needed a black swan event to TRIGGER the END GAME. There is not only one black swan, the Coronavirus which is causing worldwide supply chain disruptions (= supply shock)! There is another black swan, which will have severe impact on the world economy which is the oil conflict between Russia, Saudi and USA!

Banks now begin to print massive amounts of FAKE fiat money to bailout big companies and whole sectors, which will result in a massive dilution of currency supply and loss of buying power of the EUR. Unemployment ratio raises very fast which is an indication that we are now in a depression. If this depression results in a death spiral, the economy will need a very long time to recover from this (look back to 1929).

ECB will soon print €750 billion to pump up the markets artificially with the Coronavirus as official main reason.

In approximately 18 months most fiat currencies will weaken drastically because new printed fake money will trickle down into the real economy and dilute purchasing power even more, which is like a hidden tax for savers.

I recommend withdrawing your funds from your bank and convert it into real money like gold , silver and Bitcoin before this Ponzi system breaks down completely.

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I´m not a financial adviser. For educational purpose only!

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