It looks like a good time to buy Deere shares, I have done an evaluation on the perceived intrinsic value of the company. To back up my philosophy about what I think a "good deal" on the shares is, I have included a technical analysis including a trendline being touched for the third time at a measured Fibonacci retracement.
Looking ahead five years, based on the revenues the company is expected to generate according to wall streets current estimates. I have used the discount cash flow model to determine what I believe a suitable margin of safety would be to buy and hold shares of Deere. I am taking into account, the time value of the investment by measuring 5 years ahead, the risk to me at this point is very low. $570 seems to be a fair price taking into account all the fundamentals, I have been holding the stock for some time, but am increasing my exposure to 5% allocation in my portfolio.
Naturally I like the stock because I have worked around these machines a lot in my life. So I have a good understanding of how the company will make money and why the company will make money. The current price of a share is $461, while the intrinsic value according to my model is $570, essentially that means the shares are about %25 undervalued right now. I would personally rate Deere a buy despite the short term headwinds the company faces, we need them.
Looking ahead five years, based on the revenues the company is expected to generate according to wall streets current estimates. I have used the discount cash flow model to determine what I believe a suitable margin of safety would be to buy and hold shares of Deere. I am taking into account, the time value of the investment by measuring 5 years ahead, the risk to me at this point is very low. $570 seems to be a fair price taking into account all the fundamentals, I have been holding the stock for some time, but am increasing my exposure to 5% allocation in my portfolio.
Naturally I like the stock because I have worked around these machines a lot in my life. So I have a good understanding of how the company will make money and why the company will make money. The current price of a share is $461, while the intrinsic value according to my model is $570, essentially that means the shares are about %25 undervalued right now. I would personally rate Deere a buy despite the short term headwinds the company faces, we need them.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.