Lilalisa
Short

DAX, easy TA.... no no, not with the FED and REPO

OANDA:DE30EUR   Germany 30
352 views
18
Hello my Friends, Traders and Interested.

My last TA, with 2 versions, took the bullish way. Quite exactly. But what will happen now .....

Yes, we had a quite interesting week behind us. A lot has happened.

Yes, yes. Bullish ..... Bullish , and more Bullish

This week played out soooooo good, new ATH , every dip was bought up immediately, as if there were no economic and global worries. But, there are plenty of problems. Economic data this week,....... partly very bad. Daimler, banks, steel industry. All weak.
Corona Virus: further, sometimes massively increasing infections, further extended mandatory breaks in many chinese factories and and and and.
But, the markets got their new ATHs. Crazy right? Yes, completely crazy. However, the FED, Repo, Chinese Central Bank and panic buying are making these completely excessive market increases possible. It is clear that this cannot end very well in the long term view. As of next weeks, the repos will be reduced and China will not pump money endlessly into the markets.
I'm expecting an interesting next week.

The chart picture:

Interesting as well. We arrived at the blue ascending channel at the top, .. we crossed it briefly today, but closed within at the end of the day. The black line is equally interesting. Based on two lows from 2016, today's high hits exactly this line.

Under "normal" circumstances a downmove would be expected. First goal, the red line, then down to the bottom line of the blue channel.

And I really expect this downmove, even under the manipulative interventions as described above. We may see a short fakeout to the upside, but in general, the downmove is no longer avoidable. So watch closely the news on the weekend, especially regarding the threatening Corona Virus.

As always, I will update this TA frequently. Trade on your own risk and trade safe.
My TA here just educational.

A Like and following makes me happy.

All the best and a good weekend,

Sascha
Feb 24
Comment: HI YA ALL OUTSIDE,

uhhhh, Corona impacts the markets brutally, I expected bearish scenario, but not like this. We are near the first resistance in my chart. The red line. If we break this, we will go down to the bottom of the blue channel. And than it will get dangerous for the markets. Breaking this channel would mean a direct way into a big recession. 30 % fall might income.

All the best outside ta ya all,

Sascha
Feb 27
Comment: Target neartly reached. If we go under the blue bottom line, nearly no support and direct way to around 11.350.

Trade safe outside my Friends.

Feb 27
Comment: Hey all outside, this is really unbelievable, just 4 days to touch my target on the blue bottom line.

Yes, under bad circumstances, the corona virus. And this is sad and bad for the people dying and fighting with this virus.

But what will happen to the markets now?

I will do a new TA within the next hrs.

Comments

Whats the monthly high u reck on?
Reply
Good analysis, completely agree with this.
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