COVID - exponential C and R vs linear D
Here's my first chart as a Tradingview nube. Confirmed and recovered cases show exponential rise, while mortality is straight linear. This trend seems to indicate that the mortality rate is dropping as more cases show up.
Influenza kills about 650k worldwide each year according to the WHO. 60k have died in first half of 2020, and if mortality stays linear we'll loose another 60k by years end, which is far less than the yearly toll from influenza. What am I missing? Why has COVID triggered so much economic and social turmoil?
Influenza kills about 650k worldwide each year according to the WHO. 60k have died in first half of 2020, and if mortality stays linear we'll loose another 60k by years end, which is far less than the yearly toll from influenza. What am I missing? Why has COVID triggered so much economic and social turmoil?
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Missed a zero on mortality, so 600k not 60k. 2 x 600k = 1200k. Twice the mortality rate as influenza.
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So how does COVID compare to other causes of death worldwide? If the 2020 numbers were comparable to a study in the Lancet from 2017, the projection from this graph for COVID deaths would rank 13th as cause of death worldwide, just above tuberculosis.
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