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BitcoinMacro
Apr 2, 2021 4:26 PM

Altcoin dominance clearly broke out. What's next? Long

(DEFIPERP+ALTPERP*3+SHITPERP+MIDPERP+EXCHPERP*1.3)/BTCUSD*100FTX

Description

Big breakout both in USD and BTC terms after almost a 2 months consolidation period. Several larger coins have started doing pretty well once again, which will then have a direct impact on smaller ones. However until then on average BTC and ETH might crush the rest of the coins in terms of returns.

So far the total market cap has gone up 140% vs BTC but coins have pumped on average 10-15x from bottom to top. However this next leg up will also be massive as we are moving in the 4th phase in my opinion and one where even more people from outside the space are pilling in... and where the supply/demand imbalance is massive.

Currently the main issue for alts would be a Bitcoin ETF announcement or an 'attack' to 'unregulated' exchanges, but there aren't things I can predict now. All I see is tons of coins look good, Crypto outperforming everything and leading the way across all markets... So I can't see a reason why something would change right now. I don't see anything that tells me things are about to slow down, but the exact opposite. Again for now this holds both in BTC and USD terms.

In my view the first 3 phases were pretty small and there was constant rotation among coins, themes, narratives, sectors and so on... but this time around I don't know what's next. Tons of things look great and if Ethereum does well, tokens on Ethereum that suffered for quite some time might be 'revived'. A 15% rally of ETHBTC is no joke, especially as it is back above all key MAs and Pivots.

Essentially it is like the market has done a 5x vs BTC, with small caps coming closer to large caps, we could get another 5x. Alts came off the largest capitulation event ever, with the REAL Bitcoin Dominance hitting 77-78% and alts only rallied after Bitcoin hit 35k, which is quite big. Currently alts as a whole haven't even gone above their August 2020 peak, so they are still relatively cheap. In my opinion Bitcoin dominance could easily hit 40% in this quarter. So be ready!

Comment

Alts mooned as expected and there are very few signs of slowing down. Maybe we get a bit of sideways as large coins take a break and the game moves to smaller coins.
Comments
veltto_keksi
Thank you. There was so much insight here, that I had to start following you on twitter. :)
BitcoinMacro
@veltto_keksi, Thank you! :)
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