Technically, the German index continues to trade sideways between 13,100 and 13,300 points. Due to its proximity to the 13,300 region, it is generally more likely to get to see a break on the upside, with a first potential target being seen around 13,370 / 13,400 points.
A break higher could be initiated by the upcoming US ISM manufacturing figures, which are due at 3 pm GMT . A better-than-expected dataset could initially dampen recession concerns for the world's largest economy. A lower-than-expected data set could, on the other hand, fuel speculation that a more dovish approach by the Fed at the policy meeting on December 11 would be more likely.
Or to put it another way: the DAX could be off to a win-win in the start of the week.
On the flip side, however, there is also the danger of a renewed escalation in the US-Chinese trade conflict, after US President Trump signed a Legislation Bill on developments in Hong Kong during the night from last Wednesday to Thursday.
The resulting support for Hong Kong and clear US position against China could spark a response from the Chinese that China could for the time being fail the current Phase 1 trade talks and put the DAX under pressure.
This would then put the region around 13,100 into focus and below the area around 13,040 / 050 points at the center of the action.
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