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UnknownUnicorn5511258
Sep 20, 2020 6:14 AM

DIA's Plunge to an Icy Death Short

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFArca

Description

It's slippery out there - both up and down.

But especially down.

Just a basic roadmap to navigate the blizzard and potential avalanche.

Expect similarly dangerous slopes for SPX and NDX.

- Perma Frost Pig



AMEX:DIA
CURRENCYCOM:US30
SPCFD:SPX
NASDAQ:NDX

Trade active

Red close on this hourly doji and that's a final confirmation for me.

Trade active

So now we got a truncated 5th wave and a truncated wave 2c.

Get ready for some fireworks.
Comments
merabtene
Give me one more day to take profit on my my tech trades xD
vvrr
loaded up somemore - let's do this Pig!
ruchir2030
hey man. any updates here
UnknownUnicorn5511258
@ruchir97, need to see the nasdaq capitulate below that near-term lower level. Otherwise, it's still ambiguous whether or not we go up further to test the highs for a double top.

IMO, this is the last confirmation I need to go all-out short for the next month. Would wait until clear decision is made this week.
merabtene
Haha, Aren't you exaggerating a bit ?
UnknownUnicorn5511258
@merabtene, maybe, but it is definitely possible. once the snowball starts rolling people will panic sell harder than they did in February. I'd expect it to take longer for the bearish realization to creep into the masses, but once it does, it could be far worse than this if a mid-day circuit breaker gets triggered.

last time, each circuit breaker day was triggered before the market opened. a rogue circuit breaker wave that occurs around noon could be way more damaging (i.e. like a flash crash).

(but to your point, the log scaling makes it seem worse than it actually is because of the angle I dragged it to lol).
merabtene
@Perma_Pig, If that happens, we would definitely enter a bear market that will last for a long time. That would be ugly. Crazy valuation make me nervous too when the market move up but slightly. The best scenario I want to see is Indices going in a wide range of 20% at least, going back and forth between two levels, 3 months up +20%, 3 months down -20% that would be awesome.
horacejunior
@merabtene, I think the bear market is already upon us... less obvious but one could argue the last 5 months were just an extended bear market rally. But that aforementioned 3+,3- would be sick.
UnknownUnicorn5511258
@horacejunior, last hourly candle confirmed it for me. we are in.

hope there's no circuit breaker tomorrow so I can add
lilwizx
@Perma_Pig How much time are you planning for?
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