TradingView
PartTimeGenius
Mar 27, 2019 12:11 AM

DIA Indecision Short

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFArca

Description

Indecision in the Market right now.

Bear Case:
*Multiple failed attempt to break resistance
*Head and Shoulder formation
*Broken wedge up
*Lack luster volume
*Bearish divergence on RSI
***Motivation for break lower : recession fears

Bull Case:
* 50 MA broke back above 200 MA
* Price holding above those two MAs
* Symmetrical Triangle engulfing the H&S (Larger pattern usually plays out)
* Possibly a bull flag forming (look at it in the weekly)
***Motivation for break higher : Trade deal

****Personally, I think we break lower... Let's talk about it!
Comments
Septimus
Interesting analysis. Where do you see it going, somewhere around 242?
PartTimeGenius
@Septimus, Yes, Around there. The level I'm watching exactly is ~245 (also corresponding to 38% Fib) from the December lows. After that I think we might blow past the 50% Fib (maybe slight pause), but drop to the 68% which is at ~233 and is a major S/R
More