A long term plan the current bubble we find ourself in, and exactly where in the cycle we are. Short term is long but we must be extremely careful! A side note: after the next deflationary crash, cryptocurrencies will be hit hard, buy them when they are very cheap after the crash.
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Gold clone from 1987 to 2000 showing the same that we are just re-living the same economic cycle
It really depends on the glass sphere the Fed has at this moment. If there interest rate hikes are too agressive it will cause a big crash, if it is conservative we might prolongue the bull run to 31k DJI. Also a big possibility of double top arround 26k DJI and decline from there. It really is hard to predict, but I belief in 2 scenarios:
1. Double top at 26k. Then bear market -50% with recession.
2. Sideway action and return to bull to 31k. Then bear market -66% with recession.
JamesRkaye
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@TeunisDokter, yes very true! This cycle assumes the fed will react to the bull market in the same way they have acted before, although I am not a fan of the double top idea, I think we still have a way to go yet
thehoplite
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I think you are absolutely and 100% correct. Thank you for sharing a real sentiment. I would also add that others may be warned against purchasing LT bonds at the present. Bond prices are also to follow as inflation continues to pull back on that slingshot. Thank you, sir.
@ashutoshgoyal, It's difficult to say now, I imagine the huge amount of money the fed is printing and loaning is going to create a bubble after we recover from the Covid-19 crisis, however i have no idea how long the downtrend will last
JamesRkaye
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It's nearly time for the euphoric bull market. Buying in big here!
Trading Indicators and the "DJIA" - Three examples listed below
Stachastic = Stoch
True Strength Indicator = TSI
Ultimate Oscillator = UO
Some numbers to use listed below
17 - 42 - 33 and 33 - 42 - 17
17 - 33 - 42 and 42 - 33 - 17
33 - 17 - 42 and 42 - 17 - 33
These numbers also work with other "Markets" and "Indicators"
Monthly - Weekly - Daily - and lower to one minute if you like
These numbers may or may not help with your trading decisions
For information only -- Education only
"Good Luck" -- We are going to need it
"One Eye Jim"
jeffreyjim
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"Inverted Yield Curve" and recessions in "America -- U.S.A."
Something to learn about and think about.
Treasury Yield 10 yr = 2.818 %
Minus
Treasury Yield 2 yr = 2.633 %
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Equals -------------- = 0.185 %
My opion 100 % chance inverted yield curve coming soon.
This is for information only.
Good Luck Everyone --- We are going to need it in a big way.
"One Eye Jim"
1. Double top at 26k. Then bear market -50% with recession.
2. Sideway action and return to bull to 31k. Then bear market -66% with recession.