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markrivest
Jun 20, 2021 4:41 AM

Bear Market Confirmation Signals Short

Dow Jones Industrial Average IndexTVC

Description

Within an Elliott five-wave impulse pattern there's usually a Fibonacci price/time relationship between waves "one" and "five"
The growth rate of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Primary wave "5" is 1.236 of Primary wave "1".

Within the time dimension there's a near bullseye hit. Primary wave "1" was 286 trading days. Primary wave "5" was 285 trading days. The DJI all-time highs was on 05/10/21 there was a new moon on 05/11/21, occasionally stock markets peak on or near new moons. Additionally, late April early May is the start of a seasonally bearish zone that could continue into October.

Subsequently the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high on 06/15/21. This high was unconfirmed by either the DJI or the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC). Whenever only one of the three main US indices makes a new high/low unconfirmed by the other two indices, it is a potentially powerful momentum divergence. In this case the SPX
solo high on 06/15 is an addition bearish signal.

Weekly MACD has the most significant bearish lines crossover since February 2020. MACD Histogram has bearish divergences.

The evidence presented in this post is only the tip of the iceberg. There's a massive amount of additional bearish evidence documented in my other writings.

All traders need to beware - there's a very high probability US stocks have entered a bear market.

Mark
Comments
SOXLite
Anyone who follows let alone risks real money with this guy is nuts. GLTA!
Neilbob
@SOXLite, if you know anything about Elliott Wave Theory, an extended wave three often has wave 5 being equal to wave 1 in either time or price.
wolffarchitecture
Thank you for this.
Do you have an incite as to gold , silver or commodity response?
markrivest
@wolffarchitecture,
Not yet, there are no clear signals.
InkyGrip
Excellent education well done! 🦐
markrivest
@plancton0618,
Thanks for the compliment.
Spawn777
And now we have a seemingly more hawkish Fed. What’s the stat on bull market terminations? Nearly or all bull markets ended with hawkish Fed policy...not sure if that’s correct but that’s what I heard.
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