capriole_charles

George Tritch Strategy from 1872 has a 90% hit rate

TVC:DJI   Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
In 1872 George Tritch documented a strategy for when to Buy and Sell stocks over the next 200 years.

While Buy and Hold performed better, it is pretty impressive that a strategy documented almost 150 years ago had a 91% hit rate.

The strategy also identified the (near) peaks of major crashes including 1929, 1999, 2007 and 2020.

Two key learnings:
1. Buy and Holding (while boring) is a fantastic strategy
2. Market cycles are repetitive. While the times, technology, markets and oversight have changed massively in 150 years; market cycles haven’t.

Human nature never changes.
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Comments

Why is there no answer to the questions about how to get the script?
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@hansthart, there is. Read above response to "cooltest".
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time cycle
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god work
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can you present the daily long/short strategy for the verfication, very insterested to subscribe it
+1 Reply
@cooltest,

I didn't publish it in the end, because his strategy is just issuing a BUY/SELL signals in certain years, per the image.

The next signal is in 2023 to "Buy".

NB: "buy & hold" outperforms Tritch's strategy in long-run, but Tritch's avoids the big drawdowns.
Reply
cooltest capriole_charles
@capriole_charles, Thanks and noted, may I know whether you have the daily BUY/SELL signal strategy for us to subscribe? Thank you
+3 Reply
lu1977hk capriole_charles
@capriole_charles, does he say how much the market will go down to reach the bottom?
+2 Reply
Amazing! Could this be used to get out of the market, or short it, before resuming buy and hold, Charles?
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