TradingView
freeguy_by_wmc
Mar 13, 2024 3:11 PM

Polkadot (DOTUSD): The End of an Uptrend Long

DOT / DollarBitfinex

Description

Polkadot (DOTUSD): BINANCE:DOTUSD

Polkadot appears to have completed Wave (2) with a notable level of certainty. Upon further analysis, it increasingly seems we're witnessing an ending diagonal pattern. This indicates the potential conclusion of the current uptrend shortly, leading to a corrective downturn for Polkadot. While Wave 1 could theoretically extend to $12.82, such a scenario appears less probable. The key factor now is whether we can breach the trendline. Should we remain confined within this diagonal pattern, a prompt downward shift may be expected. For Wave 2, our strategy involves repositioning within the 50% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Yet, we must wait to detect any signs of weakness in Polkadot before making our move, as navigating decisions amidst its ongoing bullish momentum presents a considerable challenge.

Comment

For Polkadot, we've witnessed exactly what we anticipated - the completion of our Wave 1. We were somewhat confirmed in our assumption from a week ago that we might see an impulse upwards, typical for a Wave ((v)), which shoots up but then sells off sharply. This is precisely what we observed, indicating we've likely formed Wave ((a)). We still believe we are currently in the overarching Wave 2. Therefore, we expect a three-wave impulse towards either a Regular Flat or an Expanded Flat for Polkadot. On closer inspection, we've identified a three-wave impulse leading to Wave ((a)), leading us to anticipate another three-wave impulse upwards. This should reach between 100% and 138%, or between $11.85 and $12.85 as the maximum. If we break higher, we'll need to reevaluate our analysis. Until then, we maintain our stance, expecting the completion of Wave 2.

Comments
DSharp78
Nicely done. Let's see if it can maintain that $8.57 support which I think it will.
freeguy_by_wmc
@DSharp78, thank you, it was clear that we really needed a correction and anticipated this sell-off. Let's see if we can hold the levels now. We are filled in a couple of trades and I think this will boost our portfolio performance pretty well.
MyCryptoParadise_Simon
Okay...But i think there's still a lot of room for growth in DOT
freeguy_by_wmc
@MyCryptoParadise_Simon, for sure there is. But only question is: do we continue the bullish trend and momentum now or will take a short break.
More