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TradingShot
Apr 7, 2021 6:55 PM

DXY Will the 1W MA50 weigh more than the oversold 4H RSI? 

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

The U.S. Dollar Index is on critical cross cross-roads. Last week it got rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line (4H time-frame, left chart) and naturally pulled back to the Higher Lows trend-line, which is so far holding. With the 4H RSI oversold, the short-term sentiment is bullish.

However last week's rejection didn't only happen on the Higher Highs trend-line but also right below the 1W MA50 (yellow trend-line). Technically that's what makes all the difference when it comes to long-term trends. Theoretically as long as it holds, the long-term trend remains bearish on DXY. On the 1D time-frame (right chart), the MACD just formed a Bearish Cross while the RSI Double Topped, so if the Higher Lows trend-line breaks, expect the Support 1 to be tested and potentially the Support 2. That will largely depend on what the 1D MA100 (green trend-line on the right chart) will do, as it has been an important pivot since March 2020, supporting the price twice (green arrows), while rejecting it another two times (red arrows). It's role becomes even stronger as it has been supporting since last month's break-out.


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Comments
lesa666
This guy dont know thing... what a joker... removing comments that telling something about his knowledege that equals zero ... he was telling us that DXY going down when it was 90 ... you are so funny... pls dont post thing you are just misleding people here ...
BelowZero
Go down, DXY ! BTC needs to grow a lot further :)
Thanks for the great and very thorough analysis, by the way...
financialflagship
Clean and detailed analysis. Thanks for sharing your insights. 🙌
Gayel
great explain
lesa666
@lesa666, also big divergences on weekly and monthly TF ... so wait and see next few days will tell us where are we heading ... you are right about that ... gl :)
bappykhalidhasan0
good explanation
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