Shown here on the 1 day chart is a rising wedge that is probably most valid on a 4-8hr time frame. However I wanted to show the 1 day 50ma (in orange) so I decided to post this idea on the 1 day time frame. We can see a big red candle has formed here and almost already reached the breakdown target of the wedge of 108. My thought was it was going to wait until the 1 day 50ma climbed up to the 108 zone for the breakdown to reach this target and the retest the 1 day 50ma’s support but it appears to be heading to this breakdown target much more quickly than I expected. We can see the green target I have above the wedge was almost reached to its full target but fell ever so slightly short…falling short of reaching 100% of the target suggests the bullish momentum for dxy may be waning and we could see a trend change to the down trend sooner than later. Especially if this current bearish pattern reaches 100% of its breakdown target or even more so, loses the 1 day 50ma as support. If we hit the full target and then it flips the 1 day 50ma to solid resistance the downtrend will likely be confirmed. If so it could mean yet another lower high has been established for DXY meaning that in the grand scheme of things the DXY would be very much still in a macro bear trend, despite all the FED induced”strength” it has seen as of yet…the recent surge in strength while everything else has plummeted does seem to bear the hallmarks of some sort of final exit pump but that is of course mostly speculation on my part. Al eyes on the 1 day 50ma *not financial advice*
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One more thing to note is the red candle right after our last 1day chart green candle qualifies as a bearish engulfing candle. Those do tend to signal trend changes but on a chart that has this many years of history, I’m not sure how powerful a one day candle is it would be like a 3 hour candle on a bitcoin chart.
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Wow target already hit! That was quick!
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I forgot to specify that the green bullish target above the wedge that didn’t quite get hit was for a continuation diamond pattern.