Concluding I personally think the starting of a bear market for stocks can fuel increasing demand for the dollar.
The Fed’s dovish pivot should cast doubts on how the last leg of this cycle will unfold, with investors likely to see profit warnings, defaults and increased volatility over the next 12 months, they wrote in a report Thursday. That may be favorable for Treasuries but necessitates an underweight stance on equities, credit and the dollar, they concluded.
“The damage to economic momentum and earnings seems real,” said Alain Bokobza, head of global asset allocation at the bank in Paris. “This time, easy monetary policy may lack the strength to turn the tide and avoid a recession.”