The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading sideways for almost 1 year (since June 2025) but is getting closer and closer to a massive bullish break-out. The level to watch is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) as every time DXY broke above it, a sustainable long-term rally was confirmed.
The macro pattern has been as Channel Up since March 2008 and the U.S. Housing Crisis, supported in the past 11 years by the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). A 1W MA100/ 1M MA50 Bearish Cross has coincided since September 2011 with a Bullish Leg, past a bottom formation. We have already formed this since November (2025) this time.
At the same time, the 1M RSI is displaying a Bullish Divergence, the same kind of pattern it formed on every major Bottom on this 18-year Channel Up.
As a result, we expect the price to break above its 1W MA100 by September - October and kick-start officially the new Bullish Leg. Minimum Target 110.000 on the 0.618 Channel Fibonacci level.
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The macro pattern has been as Channel Up since March 2008 and the U.S. Housing Crisis, supported in the past 11 years by the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). A 1W MA100/ 1M MA50 Bearish Cross has coincided since September 2011 with a Bullish Leg, past a bottom formation. We have already formed this since November (2025) this time.
At the same time, the 1M RSI is displaying a Bullish Divergence, the same kind of pattern it formed on every major Bottom on this 18-year Channel Up.
As a result, we expect the price to break above its 1W MA100 by September - October and kick-start officially the new Bullish Leg. Minimum Target 110.000 on the 0.618 Channel Fibonacci level.
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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