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Hedge_Of_The_World
Jun 17, 2021 1:23 PM

US Futures Drift Near Overnight Lows, Jobless Claims Spike Long

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

US Futures are hovering near yesterday's lows after a shaky start to the overnight session saw us reverse the Powell driven buying spree that started around 2:45PM when he said to take the dot plot with a "pinch of salt." Powell is now essentially saying that the Fed doesn't know what it's doing, so don't really listen to what the members think. I mean, this guy is a complete idiot imo. After rallying to erase essentially all of the afternoon losses, futures tanked shortly after the close, and we tested new session lows, to then drift marginally higher.

As of Thursday morning at 9AM the S&P was trading down -0.31% to 4,200, the Dow was down -0.23% to 33,828, with the Nasdaq down -0.38% to 13,918, and the Russell down -0.32% to 2,302.60. The Vix rose 2.5% to 18.61, while the dollar continued it's spectacular bounce to 91.81, up 0.46%. The US10Y yield also rallied hard after the FOMC minutes - but we're cooling lightly here before the open and sitting at 1.557%.

Gold is crashing and is down over 4% on the day. We're sitting at 1,785 and losing the 100DMA at 1,797. We're back in the descending channel, and looking at further downside as we approach the end of the trading week. Oil continues to rise, and is sitting just below a 72 handle, up 0.39% on the day.

Lastly, we saw jobless claims come in higher than expected moments ago. Initial claims rose to 412k vs the 350k expected, while continuing claims remained flat at 3.518MM (3.517 prior). Needless to say, investors are finally considering the fact that the cost of servicing debt is going to rise soon putting pressure on (debt fueled) asset prices, and in short order (by June 26th), roughly 1.5 million Americans will lose unemployment benefits. In September, apparently another 9 Million or so will lose benefits. Stagflation here we come...

Our live analysis begins at 9:30AM.

* I am/we are currently long HUV, UVXY
Comments
Financier_Guy
thanks for sharing your idea mate 🙏👍
Hedge_Of_The_World
@Financier_Guy, Anytime my friend, I appreciate the comment. ;)
jojofang0901
yea agree with this my frd :)
Hedge_Of_The_World
@jojofang0901, Thanks buddy! It's going to be a crazy end to the week with quad witch tomorrow! :)
Mihai_Iacob
Nice info, thanks for sharing!
Hedge_Of_The_World
@OptimoomFX, Thank you, my friend!
yoo_ad_51
thank you very much
Hedge_Of_The_World
@yoo_ad_51, Anytime! Thanks for the comment.
yoo_ad_51
@Hedge_Of_The_World, Hello
Please share Eurusd analysis
thank you very much
Please
Hedge_Of_The_World
@yoo_ad_51, Will do, I'll share an analysis on EURUSD on Monday morning. :)
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