DXY/USD ~ Bullish Reversal / Inverse H&S (1H)

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

⋅ Dec 11, 2023 10:53 AM

TVC:DXY chart mapping/analysis.

Bullish inverse H&S identified on lower timeframe charts, pending breakout confirmation.

Trading scenarios into EOY:

Inverse H&S breakout = extrapolated move into 23.6% Fib / ~106 horizontal line (yellow dashed) / upper range of descending parallel channel (light blue) confluence zone.
Breakout failure = re-test 50% Fib aka "Right Shoulder".
Further bearish capitulation = re-test lower range of ascending parallel channel (white) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.

Comment

⋅ Dec 14, 2023 6:28 AM

DXY chart update (Thurs 14/12):

JFC, DXY got absolutely wrecked post-FOMC.
Inverse H&S invalidated - dump straight down (overextended?) to lower range of ascending parallel channel (white) & into Golden Pocket.
Quick reversal to re-test parallel channel break - possible move higher to fill ~102.90 gap, consolidate around 61.8% Fib, or break below ~102.4 wick low to continue dumper, TBC.