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Macrobriefing
Apr 18, 2023 11:32 AM

DXY - US Dollar should rise Long

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

We've just had a decent pullback and now we could get the bounce.
The US fiscal flows have gone into surplus. What does that mean? It means the US Treasury is taking more out of the system than they put in. This means they are taxing more than they are spending.
When a government taxes they destroy the currency. This means there are fewer dollars in the system than in March and we could go back to the Late September levels. Fewer greenbacks in the system could mean the scarcity effect increases what people are willing to pay. There is also the coming rate hike in a couple of weeks' time.

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