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vregrdedtrdr
May 19, 2023 2:21 PM

DXY to 104 and possibly higher  Long

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

Good Morning Traders,

The DXY continues to shows strength and rise while retaining levels gained, there are several reasons why it could potentially trade back up to $109 with continued strength. Here is a detailed summary:

Strong Economic Fundamentals: A key driver of currency strength is a strong and healthy economy. If the United States demonstrates robust economic indicators such as solid GDP growth, low unemployment, stable inflation, and positive interest rate differentials compared to other major economies, it can attract investors and lead to a strengthening of the U.S. dollar.

Monetary Policy Divergence: Central bank policies play a significant role in currency movements. If the U.S. Federal Reserve adopts a relatively hawkish stance by tightening monetary policy (raising interest rates or reducing stimulus measures) while other central banks maintain accommodative policies, it can create a divergence in interest rates and make the U.S. dollar more attractive, potentially driving the DXY higher.

Safe-Haven Status: The U.S. dollar has historically been considered a safe-haven currency during times of market uncertainty or geopolitical tensions. If global economic or political risks increase, investors may seek refuge in the U.S. dollar, leading to an upward pressure on the DXY.

Investor Sentiment and Market Flows: Market sentiment and capital flows can impact currency movements. If the U.S. dollar becomes more attractive to global investors due to its perceived strength and higher yields, increased capital inflows can contribute to a rise in the DXY.

Comment

Invalidation on 12hr close below $102.75.

However a new local low followed by closing green and regaining levels is another long entry.

Comment

the TVC:DXY looking good for continuation up

Comment

105 TVC:DXY incoming

Comment

Update:


Just noticed this article relevant to the initial post idea on TVC:DXY going to $104 and beyond.

Dollar gains on resilient U.S. economy, flight to safety - May 24, 2023 reuters.com/markets/currencies/dollar-hovers-near-2-month-high-debt-ceiling-angst-saps-risk-appetite-2023-05-24/

Comment

TVC:DXY hit $104 as expected. from the start of the charted move up.


Looking for retrace and regain with strength for continuation

Comment

12 hour closures below $103.5 would invalidate the current up move up until a local low is formed and levels start being regained.

Comment

Update: Tradingview moderators are dirty babooons

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105 incoming

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Big pullpack on TVC:DXY

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Expecting a bounce here since no 12 hour closures below 103.5

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Lose the level, new local low lower that what sent price up, regain level, looks good if it can regain.

Comment

Good evening traders,
the TVC:DXY was unable to make the move to the next zone.

From here we expect a retest of the failure zone and further retracement to the last gain around 103.154

Respecting the level or a close under with a quick regain would be a long signal.

Comment


The failure restest looks to be in and expecting a larger pullback to the identified zone in rectangle around 103 on the TVC:DXY

Comment

pulling back as expected.
lets see what happens traders.

Comment

Good Evening traders.

Looks like we are in for some more whipsawing on the TVC:DXY


Have a nice night

Comment

Good Day Traders.


Lets see what happens

Comment

Good afternoon traders,

This is the first time I have ever charted the DXY.
I have no idea what to expect here.

My bias is slight retrace and then new local low at my initial level I mentioned for the retest. Will post another chart later.

Comment


want to see failures here

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I think my initial retrace idea range is working out to look good so far. Lets see what happens traders.


Not Financial Advice. At ones own risk to reward always.
But I watch this to look for strength on risk on assets.

Comment

Good Evening Traders.

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Good evening traders,

looking for a retrace here, then a big pullback on the TVC:DXY


Have a nice evening

Trade closed: target reached

I should have closed this idea on May 25 when the DXY topped out as commented. Check the other idea for the current down move on the DXY
Comments
vregrdedtrdr
test post.
vregrdedtrdr
Good Morning traders,

Nothing has changed except less strength in the retest than expected.
Still expecting a pullback to around 102 on the DXY.
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