“Summing up the FOMC meeting: what shall we do with the dollar.”

TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Currency Index
Yesterday, the Fed expectedly raised the rate by 0.25% (among other things, the eighth rate hike since the US monetary policy vector reversal). That is, there were no negative surprises for the dollar in the form of non-availability of rates, as there were also no frankly positive force majors in the way of raising rates by 0.5%. In this regard, the rather mild reaction of the dollar, in general, is understandable.
But as we have already noted, the devil will be covered in detail. Namely in the comments of the Fed on the future of monetary policy . They will determine the dynamics of the dollar.
To our point of view, comments have been more than aggressive but again, in general, there were expected.

Let's start with the so-called "dot plot" - the plan of the Fed to raise rates. He was quite aggressive before, but after yesterday's the FOMC meeting began to look even more "tough." According to the updated plan, we are waiting for another rate increase in 2018 (this will be the fourth (!) the Fed’s rate hike this year). Besides, the Central Bank plans to increase the rate three more times over the coming year.

As we can see, forecasts are incredibly aggressive, especially amid others key World Central Banks policy, which either hold the rate sustainable (Bank of Japan, ECB) or increase it quite rarely and haphazardly overall (referring to the Bank of England and the Bank of Canada). That is, the differential of interest rates will grow in favor of the dollar. So, the dollar will become more and more attractive to "profit-seekers." Which let us a basis to recommend buying a dollar in the foreign exchange market.

This is supported by the Fed's updated forecasts on the economic growth of the United States. In particular, the outlook for GDP growth was raised, and it was also noted that the labor market situation is stable, and inflation remains near the target level of 2%.

We attribute the results of the FOMC meeting to the dollar. The Fed continues to tighten monetary policy whereas the economy is in excellent shape. All combined, and also in comparison with other developed countries, gives us a reason for recommending for buying the dollar. First of all, this can be done against the euro , as well as the Japanese yen .

Наши партнеры

Авторские индикаторы от лучших трейдеров и аналитиков
Home Stock Screener Forex Screener Crypto Screener Economic Calendar Shows How It Works Chart Features Pricing House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Charting Solutions Lightweight Charting Library Help Center Refer a friend Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Refer a friend My Support Tickets Help Center Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out