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TradingShot
Jun 18, 2021 1:37 PM

DXY The 1W MA50 holds the key. 

U.S. Dollar Currency IndexTVC

Description

On the first quarter of the year, I've published the following posts. One was a research on DXY's tendency to 3 year cycles and how it has entered a new one, and the other how under certain circumstances, the current bottom resembles that of 2018:





It appears that the U.S. Dollar Index is attempting a repeat of the 2018 - 2020 Cycle as this week has posted an incredible green 1W candle that is at the moment slightly above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). In 2018, when DXY closed a weekly candle above the MA50, it started a sustainable rise (in the form of a Channel Up) towards the Highs of the COVID outbreak.

In my opinion it is all about the closing of the 1W candle. Do you agree?


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Comments
baris3
Great analysis man
bappykhalidhasan0
good explanation
CryptoSharknado
sustainable? it can break out, but the dollar is toast
Jamal92
@CryptoSharknado, shifting tone from the federal reserve has change that. DXY continues upside momentum
mbdcntstpme
@Jamal92, yeah sometime in a couple years they "plan" to raise interest rates above basically zero by less than one percent. meanwhile M2 money supply increasing like 40-50% and they have publicly announced a great reset... would not surprise me at all to see a leg up to 95-97 but can't see it going higher unless every other major country start nuking themselves or something
cantremeber
agreed, nice comparison
financialflagship
Great forecast, thanks a lot. 🙌
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