Victor.Y.F
Short

EEM market ETF is in dangerous zone

AMEX:EEM   ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
136 0 5
Fundamental:
1, USdollar             is in a situaton could draw capitals from EEM             market now. FRB is fishing with patients and let’s see which one would like to bite the hook.
2, EEM             are many countries there're a lot of risks over there in the future. A capital squeezing will happen.
3, Weighted JPY colud benefit from safe haven. It’s not surprising to see JPY stronger because Yuan is devaluating now, a capital flowing.
4, If JPY is rising massively then the stock market won’t be very good but as long as USdollar             is rising I think the stock market could keep trading higher range in 2016 untill it falls to correct the mature grand cycle from 2009 to 2016.
Technical:
1, Log scale trend line was broken and retested. This is very dangerous now, a wave 3 of 3 happens at any moment. Cloud be any geopolitics incident or conflict event , could be terrorism too.
2, Head shoulder PO is corresponding to WXY equal wave target. If JPY rises massively then DAX             and SPX500             will retrace too, DAX             could drop to 8000 and SPX             500 is correlated.
3, A zigzag correction.
4, Trade stocks with care in 2016.
Comment: Weighted JPY is trying to break 6.6666 neck line today. BOJ must act now because JPY's strenth will cancel EUR's easing effect and if it breaks this key level FRB have to rise rates hardly which could cost SPX and DAX both failing.
Comment: In fact if EEM countries don't rise rates but using exchange rates adjustment for keeping their purchase power. This dropping could be over soon.
Comment: 15th. - 16th. March BOJ will act more to save this one's ass and since today 114.20 new low is formed the major 5th. Wave the minor 1st. Wave is forming now.
Comment: The sky will fall, soon.
Comment: There is no more easing from BOJ and this chart is on the major wave down now.
Comment:
snapshot
Comment: Now it's very positive for the EEM market but we have to wait for it breaking the huge triangle.
Comment: The EEM market is breaking the triangle, it's big. Pay attention to US dollar capital squeezing into EEM market, the last meal guys. Good to all Asia countries stocks markets, include the Thailand BTW.
From Sep. 2011 to the year of 2017 the gold is a compensation for stocks market, it's very interesting to see the changing of the Yen, the gold, the US dollar, Oz.
Comment: To be very very clear, the China stock market AKA the "A shares" last rising in 2015 is a selling off under Renminbi's negative interests condition as showing on chart, inverted in black color bars. With Renminbi's hiking on March 2017, the A shares is healthy now.
So it's gonna rise with the EEM together, but we must watch out the China Government 10Y bonds future market for buying it into a negative again.
Looking back the China bonds market, it's crazy, it's no administration in there...
My analysis may be the first one on TV to predict the EEM market is gonna rise.
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