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the_sunship
Jan 5, 2023 4:38 PM

SPX - B is starting to look like a triangle  

E-mini S&P 500 FuturesCME

Description

So a follow up to my previous post because they are not breaking this market down as hard today as I suspected. Very possibly B continues sideways into CPI tomorrow and we rally into the end of today. A false breakdown on CPI (the final e wave) would give then get us the move up, how far is uncertain for it should take a few days at least. C target may even get to the edge of the pitchfork - much higher than most would expect.

I'm thinking this because the rsi on smaller time frames is showing hidden bullish divergence and we are at pitchfork fib support on both SPY and QQQ. Please be cautious!

I'll update later today after market close

Comment

looks scary, but triangle legs should be in 3 waves. It can certainly tank into tomorrow but I believe they are trying to set a bear trap here. AAPL put/call ratio at all time highs and SPY puts up 40 percent today.

Comment

putcall on appl up 50 percent today. seems a bit late
Comments
the_sunship
can't update ideas while I'm away from my desk - I don't know why in the tradingview app this is not possible? So I'll leave a comment here - impulse up for D has begun. Short squeeze to 3880 or so likely. Jobs numbers may pull it back but not too much If this is correct.
mykohph
Core cpi next Thursday. Tmw is non farms payroll/unemployment rate/ labor force participation
the_sunship
@mykohph oh yes I get them confused, sorry.
spuspala
Seems like heading to C?
JoeChampion
Excellent insight!
mykohph
Just when people think they’ve figured out the market and where it wants to go… the MM say nope, your money is my money now.
the_sunship
@mykohph, not an easy market these days, a lot of people giving up.
mykohph
@the_sunship yep. I hope to see a lucky little rally tomorrow to complete the upside of your triangle 🫰🏻
peterbhc
I like that triangle myself.
the_sunship
@peterbhc I wanted to see the big sell to buy cheap but hey, you don't always get it!
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