The Nasdaq-100 Futures have been holding up in the range printing potential Bullish Cup with Handle Pattern but the SPX Futures have come down to nearly a 0.886 retrace, completing a Bullish Gartley aligning with the 200-day SMA.
Oil has recently spiked above $110 which was likely the trigger for the SPX's decline, but at this point is likely to come crashing back down below $100 if not just for a week or so.
During this time we can likely see the SPX stage a recovery from this recent decline as lower oil prices will lead to lower volatility(VIX), which will lead to a lower US Dollar Index, and higher equities and Bitcoin/Crypto.
I currently think we will see balance sheet expansion and that the market is going to price that in with one last blow-off top push to the upside as I detailed here:
This weekend's opening decline just simply serves as a more precise entry that one could even size up in the futures market. I think that it would make sense to take some profits near the top of the range at the 2.618 extension $6,921.75 but I also think that this could serve as the preferred entry into the bigger blow-off top move I'm suspecting can hit as high as $7.6-$9k as detailed in the higher timeframe idea above.
Oil has recently spiked above $110 which was likely the trigger for the SPX's decline, but at this point is likely to come crashing back down below $100 if not just for a week or so.
During this time we can likely see the SPX stage a recovery from this recent decline as lower oil prices will lead to lower volatility(VIX), which will lead to a lower US Dollar Index, and higher equities and Bitcoin/Crypto.
I currently think we will see balance sheet expansion and that the market is going to price that in with one last blow-off top push to the upside as I detailed here:

This weekend's opening decline just simply serves as a more precise entry that one could even size up in the futures market. I think that it would make sense to take some profits near the top of the range at the 2.618 extension $6,921.75 but I also think that this could serve as the preferred entry into the bigger blow-off top move I'm suspecting can hit as high as $7.6-$9k as detailed in the higher timeframe idea above.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
