SemperTrader

Trends, Economics, and why we will get to 3500ish

CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
Real quick, I didn't want to record the whole thing again, but I skipped part of the math equation because I was doing it in my head so I thought I'd explain the math on why 3500ish...

Top 4805, Bottom from pandemic lows 2175
4805 - 2175 = 2630
2630 / 2 = 1315 (the part I forgot to explain on how I got around 1300)
2175 + 1315 = 3510

Once we bottom at 3510ish, I think the market might settle down. As stated, I don't see us expanding back up to 4805 this year, or anywhere close to that. I think the economy, and the market with it, deals with the recession next year, and we work our way out of the trough. We then get a period of a few years of expansion, and make our way back up to 4805 properly.

But... what do I know? Haha. Just explaining why we are where we are, where we are going, and why I think we will be taking such a route to get there. Hope you enjoyed the video!

As always, your risk management plan is the greatest part of your trading plan!

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