First of all, I'm not planning to trade this setup because of the current conjuncture and i don't like holding futures contracts. Futures ES gives me more than 90% probability for $3369 by 26th March 2020. Again, I'm not trading based on statistics. Holding futures contracts is very risky even for micros.
Technically speaking, I was expecting a market crash and posted my idea here a few weeks ago.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice
Why do you put such a high degree on certainty on this?
AtillaYurtseven
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@dane4, this is based on statistics. Sample data i used gives me that high probability. 100% probability works until it doesn't. This is not certainty.