ES WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
ES Weekly Recap Outlook
Price found a strong reaction from the First Key Level and, exactly as planned, reached the Flip Level first and then Bullish Target 1 almost to the tick. We captured a 1.75% move, equivalent to 132 points.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 35
Total Trades Closed: 12
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 4
Overall Win Rate: 67%
Index Options: 2 Trades (2 Wins)
Futures Desk: 7 Trades (4 Wins / 3 Losses)
Equities (Stocks): 2 Trades (1 Win / 1 Loss)
Precious Metals/Commodities: 1 Trade (1 Win)
Result: A solid Green Week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Neutral
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
ES Futures Technical Look
There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions.
Flip Level: 7695
First Key Level: 7634
If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets:
Bullish Target 1: 7765
Bullish Target 2: 7840
A break below the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the First Key Level below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
ES Weekly Recap Outlook
Price found a strong reaction from the First Key Level and, exactly as planned, reached the Flip Level first and then Bullish Target 1 almost to the tick. We captured a 1.75% move, equivalent to 132 points.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 35
Total Trades Closed: 12
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 4
Overall Win Rate: 67%
Index Options: 2 Trades (2 Wins)
Futures Desk: 7 Trades (4 Wins / 3 Losses)
Equities (Stocks): 2 Trades (1 Win / 1 Loss)
Precious Metals/Commodities: 1 Trade (1 Win)
Result: A solid Green Week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Neutral
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
ES Futures Technical Look
There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions.
Flip Level: 7695
First Key Level: 7634
If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets:
Bullish Target 1: 7765
Bullish Target 2: 7840
A break below the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the First Key Level below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Trade active
ES is looking good above 7634, but CPI will ultimately decide the price action. Be careful with your position size ahead of CPI.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.