S&P 500 (March 2025) - End of January Analysis

Feb 2

S&P breaks the two week winning streak, finishing 1% down in rough trading conditions as China’s AI push weights amid bevy of corporate reports.

With the news being released by Donald Trump that 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexico and Canada + 10% for China, this could be seen as a bullish signal for the stock index. But sometimes bullies don’t always get their way and we could be in for a short term retracement targeting the lows of October’s bullish order block @ $5,856 - $5,776

Feb 3

Note

Gapped lower on Sundays open with the PM session closing in the new week opening gap.
Did Monday create the lows for the week?

Feb 4

Note

What a mess!

Gaps have been created since this weeks open.
50/50 price action currently.
$6.056 - $6,068 bearish order block is important going into tomorrows trading as i would like to see this respected.

Feb 5

Note

8:30am opening bell is around the corner and we have continued to see really choppy price action.

Lack of high impact news means the chance for continuation in choppy price action
Not expecting anything major today from ES

Feb 8

Note

End of week delivery

Mar 1

Trade closed: target reached

end of month delivery
Although there has been a lot of indecision in price action, ES managed to close bearish