ETC Secondary Trend 4.9 Year Triangle (like XRP) 10/2025

Oct 6, 2025

Logarithm. Time frame: 1 week. Declines from the high in the secondary trend, as before -92%. Formation of the #accumulation zone. Price is being squeezed into a corner.

🔵Main trend — ascending, rising channel, since the inception of cryptocurrency.

🟡Secondary trend — downward, transition to a sideways trend - #accumulation, and formation of a 4.9-year symmetrical triangle.

🟣Local trend — downward, squeezed into the corner of a large triangle and "tension" consolidation before an exit.

Main Trend


Control your risks and stick to your trading plan. Don't get caught up in market and news noise, which shapes dominant opinions and the illogical actions of the majority, which are doomed to lose in the future.

Everything will be as it usually is with assets (stocks, cryptocurrencies, less often, are just a few examples of how these are not real assets, but imitations of usefulness, that is, a complete scam market), which have been around for a long time. For a while (from the very beginning), the upward primary trend is maintained, and huge, multi-year patterns are formed near dynamic support. That is, an upward breakout, perhaps initially throwing passengers under the market, or some fictitious cryptocurrency events before a price rise (on a large time frame). Don't be alarmed, but ignore them, or use this opportunity to reduce the average price of the overall position. Or rather, before a dominant trend change, the "point of no return."

A striking example of this is XRP with its huge triangle and its exit (the first wave +600%, which is a capitulation on profits, or, in slang, a "hamster pump"). Then 2-3 waves of price pumps, where at each consolidation in the trend they will "bury" and cry "all is lost." In the last wave, possibly with spikes as before, a full-fledged #distribution zone will form.

XRP/USD Main trend 07 2022

Jan 3

Trade active

On January 3, 2026, tradingview.com/x/d0FqBPMz/, the price entered the capitulation zone (previously marked with the corresponding color) of a huge 5-year triangle (part of it is shown on the chart) and reached the potential reversal level of 12.37.

🟢There may be a local "rounded bottom" below the accumulation zone and a reversal to initiate a local trend (movement to the mirror resistance level of 16.18). In other words, everything is the same as with XRP previously (both formations and meaning are identical). From the perspective of a more likely positive scenario, the price zone of -25% and +150% represents the zone of secondary and primary trend potential lows. It is important to have a good average set price in this zone. In a local trend, you can trade part of your position without adding funds to increase your coin supply (this is only relevant for traders, not those who think they are), but it's not necessary.

🟣An extremely negative scenario (less likely) is failure to hold this zone and a decline (not a quick "snotty" move, like removing stop-losses and futures positions, but full candlesticks on a large time frame) to the "scary" 7.32 (i.e., to the accumulation zone of the 2019-2021 secondary trend). This would mean a bearish reversal of the 5-year triangle and a complete breakdown of the ascending channel from the very moment the asset appears (i.e., a transition from special assets like BTC, ETH, XRP, XLM, HBAR to regular "played-back assets" (money for money's sake) without providing predictors (state-level) or digitalization (the solution is to implement it at any cost under the guise of some myth).

Feb 7

Note

07 02 2026 The price reached 7.32. In the event of a breakout of this zone, the percentages to key support/resistance levels are shown, if a V-shaped reversal develops after this spike, or a local sideways consolidation and then an exit.

Feb 7

Note

Also, consider in your risk management that if the price rebounds to the trend line but fails to break through, the subsequent decline could be toward $6, which is the average price of the previous accumulation in 2019-2021 (this isn't a given, but consider this scenario in your money management).

Feb 7

Note

Apr 2

Note

April 3, 2026 price in the previously designated zone. Locally, there is a high probability of a corrective exit to the mirror level, and possibly slightly higher.

Globally, this is a conditional low zone if the multi-year logic of the ascending channel remains.

5 days ago

Note

🟡🟣ETC 07 05 2026


📊🔄 Similarly, the price has been trapped in a narrow range within a channel for three months. The price has been trapped for a very long time. Therefore, the breakout will be sharp.

🟣Local targets are shown on both sides of the breakout. However, the trend is likely to be positive.