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LordWrymouth
Nov 13, 2023 6:26 AM

Ethereum - A Sucker's Rally Before The Bitter Winter Long

ETH Perpetual Futures ContractBinance

Description

Whoever is shorting crypto right now probably has a death wish. And this isn't because there's going to be some new paradigm replacement of the USD or because institutions finally see the value of digital currency BECAUSE BLACKROCK ETF.

It's because Bitcoin, Ethereum, and all the other chains are going to zero, because they're in the way of the advent of Central Bank Digital Currencies, which are needed to underpin the worldwide roll out of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit system.

You shouldn't have faith in digital currency. There's nothing decentralized about them. It's not a free market. They're not saving you from anything.

The people who like them like them because they're getting Monero payments on the sly for being part of Palestine (Hamas)/Antifa/BLM events, which they can use to buy all sorts of horrific stuff on the Dark Web.

These "assets" are heavily concentrated in the hands of players either squatting in Shanghai (Babylon) with the CCP, or with entities who have stained their hands earning "the Mark" for "the Plan."

The problem for the CCP and Xi Jinping is that the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners looms over their head like a guillotine about to drop.

And so everything related to these digital currency things and people are things you want to practice social distancing from, wash your hands of, and inoculate yourself against by formally filing a statement of withdrawal on the Tuidang website.

Whoever doesn't have the guts, can't see it, or doesn't want to is gone with the wind.

So, here's the trade.

The Eth rally is obviously real, and it's obviously an exit pump at the same time. This means the target is painfully higher. Not to raid a monthly bar and then turn around and dump.

This means that shorts are trapped, more shorts are trapped.

A problem is that market psychology is not what you think it is. People love to buy when stuff is expensive and they love to sell when stuff is cheap. Because emotion is what drives everything, and it's why every U.S. election is lynch pinned around the words "fear" and "hate."

Price going up means a lot of big on-chain wallets get sold off at very high prices. Not only because shorts are force liquidated/force covered, but because people come piling in to buy with the number $5,000 in their eyes.


Eth monthly shows us that the dump was too deep and took too long to rally to be some sort of a prelude to a new high.



But because this rally shows no signs of retracing anywhere on futures or BTC, we can only assume that the target is the most obvious and painful target, which is the $3,600 pivot level set in 2022.

The problem for proponents of $4,000 is that despite these rallies and this supposedly bullish news about ETFs, there's no contango in futures at the moment.

And so this means that the CME Futures pattern will constrain the exchange spot prices, which we see in the charts



This means $3,600-$3,800 is the likely top.

And what's going to kill the rally?

It's really simple. A raid by the FBI/DOJ/SEC on Tether/iFinex/Bitfinex will do it and end it all forever.

What happened with online poker in the late 2000s when this happened to Full Tilt and Pokerstars?

One day everyone woke up to find their websites, where all their money was held, had been shut down with a takedown notice.

Everyone lost their money and it took many years for it to be paid back by the companies that bought FTP/Stars, the industry never recovered, and now you never even so much as hear about poker.

And that's what is going to happen to crypto. In the future, it will be gone.

And so will the 9th Communist International's CBDCs.

Comment

So where's the trade if you wanted to go long and hadn't been long already?



Frankly, probably on another dump under $2,000, because the algos like to liquidate leverage.
Comments
crypto-dot-farm
It's highly unlikely you'll ever see a 1999 handle again when it's entering a new era towards 20,000 plus. Cryptic outlook on crypto in general there's no government or policy that can stop it entirely, and it's traders like us that create new governments when the current ones literally die from old age
LordWrymouth
@crypto-dot-farm, No policy that can stop crypto?

Destroy the ability to trade BTC and ETH for USD fiat to US-based entities and the game is over, forever, that day.
crypto-dot-farm
@LordWrymouth Well if that did happen it might be a good thing, other countries can take over the global stage while the US fades away internally, which is why precisely they will never pass such a policy. If they did it would be similar to the alcohol ban and quickly reversed a few years later setting them back and out of the tech lead. But if you think about it the fact the world relates and trade crypto on future contract mark prices in USD numbers in fact just bolsters the dollar trade globally and fixation psychology stronger hence keeping the dollar in mind as the number one currency brand
LordWrymouth
@crypto-dot-farm, No. The United States will be replaced by China when China is free of the Communist Party, returns to tradition, and returns to Dynasties.

But before that change happens, crypto will be one of the first things to go, and in terms of how this manifests, the regret will be heartbreaking to a degree that it imprints upon Eternity Herself.
crypto-dot-farm
@LordWrymouth Deep but it's not a tragedy. In this Dynastic future realms no one is replaced by anyone because we are all equal. If there's one thing crypto brings inevitably it's world peace.
LordWrymouth
@crypto-dot-farm, You think it's not a tragedy because you think that no matter what you do, no matter how stupid it is, you have a future.

The garbage you just typed from your fingers is a result in believing in total bullshit, and it's a reflection of the concrete reality that you've become corrupt.

This is the painful reality facing tens of millions of people. Trash always goes down the trash way.

If you don't want to go to the sewers, improve yourself and don't classify as trash.

There's still a few days left.
crypto-dot-farm
@LordWrymouth This is great. You're feedback is taken with heart. It's possible I've been brainwashed leading a life of continuous sewer dwelling corruption -- however everything is relevant to the eyes of the beholder, it's not our opinions that are generated from matter but the matter that generates our opinions, which is why there will be light and darkness in all matter, but it's the light that always shines through brightest at the end will prevail and guide the darkness
crypto-dot-farm
@LordWrymouth Time will tell, it also heals all wounds
BR1976
lol. 20g incoming. I put 100m I today .. you we see
BR1976
Then 48
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