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gelnd
Nov 24, 2017 11:24 PM

ETHUSD A Bear's Case - Back to 382, 400, 417, 439? Short

Ethereum / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

ETHUSD broke out of a consolidation phase with a continuation of a bullish trend. However, as ETHUSD reaches its top point of its Elliot waves it is looking like a good time to get out (if you followed my previous analysis you would've gotten in earlier than $400 from just a few days ago). It is aboveBbollinger bands, bearish RSI divergence as well helping to build the thesis for a short.
Why did I choose the top I did? It already broke the 2.618 Fibonacci extensions of wave 1-2 on wave 5, meaning that the most likely outcome is that it reaches a 1:1 Fibonacci extension of wave 3-4. This is where $474.6 lies. I chose to use these two potential extensions because the third wave extended beyond the 1.618 Fibonacci extensions, just barely, of wave 1-2.

Look for the Fibonacci levels of being points of support/resistance.
Comments
imocchi
I quit at 470, waiting for retracement to around 430-ish

Good to see others seeing retracement too
gelnd
@imocchi, Yeah. I agree, but I wouldn't buy in at 430, I think it is more likely that it retraces at least 38.2% or 50% to 417 and 400 respectively.
imocchi
@redmonkeysrulez89, thank you for sharing! :)

you must be right, but I am buying back at 428, too scared to miss the train
and waiting for you next forecast ~
slfmd
You can really tell who missed the train with all these short charts in a crazy bullish trend.
gelnd
@slfmd,

You are delusional. I expected this bull run at $390. Don't be greedy.
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