Ethereum Provides the Clearest Path of Next Move

COINBASE:ETHUSD   Ethereum / U.S. Dollar
As the stock market goes so will crypto. Historically I like viewing crypto as a leading indicator of the general market. I believe Bitcoin and company are once again signaling a change in trend throughout the markets. Today U.S. markets shot up at the open but as close approached the strongest index, the Nasdaq-100 gave up nearly all its gains of the day while the SPX and DJI remained whole for the most part. This means something, and I'll be posting about this early tomorrow morning before the market open because I believe we are at a critical juncture.

Today we will touch upon Ethereum . From a price action stand point it is beginning to look a lot more corrective, despite the side ways trading we have endured for the past month. I believe this continues. Let's check out some charts on Ethereum and I'll show you what I mean.

Follow the Clearest Chart

I have said this a number of times before. Use the clearest chart to get a better picture of the crypto market. Sometimes it'll be Litecoin other time it could be Ethereum .

Above is the 4-hour chart of Ethereum . I posted a similar image on Friday as I suspected a potential sell off but it never came into fruition. I then became bullish for a potential move higher...I was punk'd. The manner in which Ethereum is bouncing off its channel support is concerning.

The chart above illustrates my my concern. On top of a potential head and shoulder top, there is a possible descending triangle in play. I like to see multiple pattern play that confirm the structural bias.

So hypothetically, if Ethereum were to breakdown here, how deep would the correction be? It may be helpful to view the Elliott picture below.

As it stands, this corrective pattern is turning out to be a WXY correction or just a big Flat. I am not sure Ethereum exceeds the low from May 11th by much though. It may just bounce off the 200 SMA . If this occurs, this is bullish in the short term. However, let's get into that if it happens. Short the rallies for now. Bias: Bearish.

As I mentioned above, I will be posting an analysis of the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 early in the morning. Stay well and happy trading!


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